Professor Emeritus, Department of Psychiatry, McGill University;Institute of Community and Family Psychiatry, Sir Mortimer B. Davis-Jewish General Hospital;4333 Chemin de la Cote Ste. Catherine; Montreal, Québec H3T1E4, Canada.
Prev Med. 2021 Nov;152(Pt 1):106353. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2020.106353. Epub 2021 Sep 16.
This article updates a 2006 review of empirical data concerning whether clinicians can predict whether patients will die by suicide, or whether fatality can be prevented. Based on further empirical data, a negative conclusion remains justified. There is good evidence that treatment programs, using psychotherapy and medication, can reduce suicide attempts. But people who die by suicide are a distinct population from attempters, and those at high risk do not necessarily present for treatment. Research on suicide prevention has not shown that fatalities among patients can be predicted, or that clinical interventions can reduce the risk. The strongest evidence for prevention derives from reducing access to means. Population-based strategies are more effective than high-risk strategies focusing on patients with suicidal ideas or attempts.
这篇文章更新了 2006 年关于临床医生是否能够预测患者是否会自杀或是否可以预防死亡的实证数据的综述。基于进一步的实证数据,否定的结论仍然是合理的。有充分的证据表明,使用心理治疗和药物治疗的治疗计划可以减少自杀企图。但是,自杀身亡的人与企图自杀的人是截然不同的人群,而处于高风险中的人并不一定需要接受治疗。预防自杀的研究表明,无法预测患者的死亡人数,也无法通过临床干预降低风险。预防的最强证据来自于减少获取手段。基于人群的策略比关注有自杀想法或企图的患者的高危策略更有效。
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