Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan.
Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan; Laboratory for Critical Care Physiology at the Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, USA; Department of Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health, NY, USA.
Resuscitation. 2021 Nov;168:103-109. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2021.09.025. Epub 2021 Sep 30.
The objective of this cohort study was to investigate whether the revised post-Cardiac Arrest Syndrome for Therapeutic hypothermia score (rCAST), which we previously developed as a prognostic score for adult patients with post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS), is also applicable to pediatric patients.
Pediatric PCAS patients were included from an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) registry of the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine (JAAM). We validated the predictive accuracy of the rCAST for the neurological outcomes at 30 and 90 days. We also evaluated the probability of a good neurological outcome in each of the three specified severity categories based on the rCAST (low severity: ≤5.5; moderate severity: 6.0-14.0; high severity: ≥14.5).
Among the 737 pediatric patients with OHCA, the data of 179 pediatric PCAS patients in whom return of spontaneous circulation was achieved were analyzed. The areas under the curve (AUC) of the rCAST for predicting the neurological outcomes at 30 days and 90 days were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90-0.99) and 0.96 (0.91-1.00), respectively. The proportions of patients with a good neurological outcome at 30 days were 100% (12/12) in the low severity group, 36.1% (13/36) in the moderate severity group, and 2.3% (3/131) in the high severity group.
The AUC of the rCAST for pediatric PCAS patients was found to be greater than 0.9 in the external validation, which corresponds to excellent predictive accuracy. There was no patient with good neurological outcome among the patients with more than 17.0 points (extremely high severity group).
本队列研究的目的是探讨我们之前开发的用于治疗性低温后心脏骤停综合征(rCAST)的修订预后评分是否也适用于儿科患者。
从日本急救医学协会(JAAM)的院外心脏骤停(OHCA)登记处纳入儿科 PCAS 患者。我们验证了 rCAST 对神经结局的预测准确性,包括 30 天和 90 天的神经结局。我们还评估了基于 rCAST 的三个指定严重程度类别(低严重程度:≤5.5;中严重程度:6.0-14.0;高严重程度:≥14.5)中每个类别良好神经结局的概率。
在 737 例儿科 OHCA 患者中,对 179 例自主循环恢复的儿科 PCAS 患者的数据进行了分析。rCAST 预测 30 天和 90 天神经结局的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为 0.95(95%CI:0.90-0.99)和 0.96(0.91-1.00)。30 天神经结局良好的患者比例在低严重程度组为 100%(12/12),中严重程度组为 36.1%(13/36),高严重程度组为 2.3%(3/131)。
rCAST 在儿科 PCAS 患者中的 AUC 在外部验证中大于 0.9,表明具有极好的预测准确性。在超过 17.0 分(极高严重程度组)的患者中没有良好神经结局的患者。