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加强国家大流行防范能力:对 COVID-19 病例和死亡的跨国分析。

Strengthening national capacities for pandemic preparedness: a cross-country analysis of COVID-19 cases and deaths.

出版信息

Health Policy Plan. 2022 Jan 13;37(1):55-64. doi: 10.1093/heapol/czab122.


DOI:10.1093/heapol/czab122
PMID:34608933
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8522413/
Abstract

The International Health Regulations-State Party Annual Reporting (IHR-SPAR) index and the Global Health Security Index (GHSI) have been developed to aid in strengthening national capacities for pandemic preparedness. We examined the relationship between country-level rankings on these two indices, along with two additional indices (the Universal Health Coverage Service Coverage Index and World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicator (n = 195)) and compared them to the country-level reported coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases and deaths (Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard) through 17 June 2020. Ordinary least squares regression models were used to compare weekly reported COVID-19 cases and death rates per million in the first 12 weeks of the pandemic between countries classified as low, middle and high ranking on each index while controlling for country socio-demographic information. Countries with higher GHSI and IHR-SPAR index scores experienced fewer reported COVID-19 cases and deaths but only for the first 8 weeks after the country's first case. For the GHSI, this association was further limited to countries with populations below 69.4 million. For both the GHSI and IHR-SPAR, countries with a higher sub-index score in human resources for pandemic preparedness reported fewer COVID-19 cases and deaths in the first 8 weeks after the country's first reported case. The Universal Health Coverage Service Coverage Index and Worldwide Governance Indicator country-level rankings were not associated with COVID-19 outcomes. The associations between GHSI and IHR-SPAR scores and COVID-19 outcomes observed in this study demonstrate that these two indices, although imperfect, may have value, especially in countries with a population under 69.4 million people for the GHSI. Preparedness indices may have value; however, they should continue to be evaluated as policy makers seek to better prepare for future global public health crises.

摘要

国际卫生条例-缔约国年度报告(IHR-SPAR)指数和全球卫生安全指数(GHSI)的制定是为了帮助加强国家大流行防范能力。我们研究了这两个指数以及另外两个指数(全民健康覆盖服务覆盖面指数和世界银行全球治理指标(n=195))在国家层面上的排名之间的关系,并将其与截至 2020 年 6 月 17 日各国报告的冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例和死亡人数(约翰霍普金斯大学 COVID-19 仪表盘)进行了比较。使用普通最小二乘回归模型,比较了在大流行的前 12 周内,按每个指数的低、中、高排名分类的国家每周报告的 COVID-19 病例和每百万例死亡人数,同时控制了国家社会人口统计信息。GHSI 和 IHR-SPAR 指数得分较高的国家报告的 COVID-19 病例和死亡人数较少,但仅在前 8 周内如此。对于 GHSI,这种关联仅限于人口低于 6940 万的国家。对于 GHSI 和 IHR-SPAR,在大流行防范方面人力资源子指数得分较高的国家,在该国首例报告病例后的前 8 周内,COVID-19 病例和死亡人数较少。全民健康覆盖服务覆盖面指数和全球治理指标的国家排名与 COVID-19 结果无关。在本研究中观察到的 GHSI 和 IHR-SPAR 得分与 COVID-19 结果之间的关联表明,这两个指数虽然不完美,但可能具有价值,特别是对于 GHSI 而言,其人口低于 6940 万人的国家。防范指数可能具有价值;然而,随着决策者寻求为未来的全球公共卫生危机做好更好的准备,它们应继续进行评估。

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Strengthening national capacities for pandemic preparedness: a cross-country analysis of COVID-19 cases and deaths.

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Learning from COVID-19: A Systematic Review of the IHR-SPAR Framework's Role in the Pandemic Response.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025-4-27

[2]
The Global Health Security Index and Its Role in Shaping National COVID‑19 Response Capacities: A Scoping Review.

Ann Glob Health. 2025-3-14

[3]
Synergising universal health coverage and global health security in the Western Pacific Region.

J Glob Health. 2025-2-14

[4]
Quantitative assessment of The Group of Seven's collaboration in sustainable development goals.

Nat Commun. 2024-8-23

[5]
Universal health coverage saves more lives among severely ill COVID-19 patients: A difference-in-differences analysis of individual patient data in South Korea.

Health Res Policy Syst. 2024-8-21

[6]
State capacity impact on COVID-19 mortality in Brazil.

Cad Saude Publica. 2024

[7]
Authors' reply to 'assessments of the performance of pandemic preparedness measures must properly account for national income'.

BMJ Glob Health. 2024-6-25

[8]
The impact of social cohesion and risk communication on excess mortality due to COVID-19 in 213 countries: a retrospective analysis.

BMC Public Health. 2024-6-14

[9]
Mapping the international health regulations monitoring and evaluation framework: an expert consultation, triangulation crosswalk and quantitative analysis.

BMJ Glob Health. 2024-6-5

[10]
The synergistic impact of Universal Health Coverage and Global Health Security on health service delivery during the Coronavirus Disease-19 pandemic: A difference-in-difference study of childhood immunization coverage from 192 countries.

PLOS Glob Public Health. 2024-5-10

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