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预先性肾移植的下降趋势和移植前透析的影响:一项韩国全国前瞻性队列研究。

Declining trend of preemptive kidney transplantation and impact of pretransplant dialysis: a Korean nationwide prospective cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, South Korea.

Department of Statistics, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, South Korea.

出版信息

Transpl Int. 2021 Dec;34(12):2769-2780. doi: 10.1111/tri.14135. Epub 2021 Oct 28.

Abstract

We evaluated the temporal trend of preemptive kidney transplantation (KT) and the effect of pretransplant dialysis duration on post-transplant outcomes. This was a nationwide cohort study of the first-time 3392 living donor KT (LDKT) recipients (2014-2019). The annual changes in proportion of preemptive KT, factors associated with preemptive KT, and post-transplant outcomes were analyzed. Preemptive KT was performed in 816 (24.1%) patients. Annual trend analysis revealed gradual decrease in preemptive KT over time (P = 0.042). Among the underlying causes of preemptive KT, the proportion of diabetes increased and that of glomerulonephritis decreased during the study period. Glomerulonephritis as the primary renal disease was a predictor of preemptive KT. Patients with pretransplant dialysis >6 months showed increased graft failure risk than preemptive KT in the subdistribution of hazard model for competing risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-5.87; P = 0.031) and in propensity score-matched analysis (aHR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.02-5.92; P = 0.034); however, pretransplant dialysis ≤6 months showed comparable graft survival with preemptive KT in both analyses. Preemptive KT declined over successive years, associated with an increase in diabetes and a decrease in glomerulonephritis as underlying causes of KT. Short period of dialysis less than 6 months does not affect graft survival compared with preemptive KT; however, longer dialysis decreases graft survival.

摘要

我们评估了抢先肾移植(KT)的时间趋势以及移植前透析时间对移植后结果的影响。这是一项对首次 3392 例活体供者 KT(LDKT)受者(2014-2019 年)的全国性队列研究。分析了抢先 KT 的比例、与抢先 KT 相关的因素以及移植后结果的年度变化。816 例(24.1%)患者接受了抢先 KT。年度趋势分析显示,随着时间的推移,抢先 KT 的比例逐渐下降(P=0.042)。在抢先 KT 的潜在原因中,在研究期间,糖尿病的比例增加,而肾小球肾炎的比例降低。肾小球肾炎作为主要的肾脏疾病是抢先 KT 的预测因素。在竞争风险的亚分布风险模型中,移植前透析>6 个月的患者与抢先 KT 相比,移植失败的风险增加(校正风险比[aHR],2.53;95%置信区间[CI],1.09-5.87;P=0.031)和倾向评分匹配分析(aHR,2.45;95%CI,1.02-5.92;P=0.034);然而,在这两种分析中,移植前透析≤6 个月与抢先 KT 的移植物存活率相当。抢先 KT 在连续几年中呈下降趋势,与 KT 的潜在原因中糖尿病的增加和肾小球肾炎的减少有关。与抢先 KT 相比,透析时间短于 6 个月并不影响移植物存活率;然而,透析时间延长会降低移植物存活率。

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