Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Department of Socioeconomics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria.
Nat Hum Behav. 2021 Nov;5(11):1519-1527. doi: 10.1038/s41562-021-01227-0. Epub 2021 Oct 13.
Physical distancing reduces transmission risks and slows the spread of COVID-19. Yet compliance with shelter-in-place policies issued by local and regional governments in the United States was uneven and may have been influenced by science skepticism and attitudes towards topics of scientific consensus. Using county-day measures of physical distancing derived from cell phone location data, we demonstrate that the proportion of people who stayed at home after shelter-in-place policies went into effect in March and April 2020 in the United States was significantly lower in counties with a high concentration of science skeptics. These results are robust to controlling for other potential drivers of differential physical distancing, such as political partisanship, income, education and COVID severity. Our findings suggest that public health interventions that take local attitudes towards science into account in their messaging may be more effective.
保持社交距离可以降低病毒传播风险并减缓 COVID-19 的传播速度。然而,美国地方和地区政府发布的就地避难政策的遵守情况参差不齐,这可能受到对科学持怀疑态度和对科学共识主题的态度的影响。我们使用手机定位数据得出的县日距离测量法表明,在 2020 年 3 月和 4 月美国实施就地避难政策后,科学怀疑论者集中的县中留在家里的人数比例明显较低。这些结果在控制其他可能导致不同程度保持社交距离的因素(如政治党派、收入、教育和 COVID-19 严重程度)后仍然稳健。我们的研究结果表明,在信息传递中考虑当地对科学的态度的公共卫生干预措施可能更有效。