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2021 年春末台湾地区 COVID-19 疫情爆发:特定气象条件及相关因素组合所致。

The outbreak of COVID-19 in Taiwan in late spring 2021: combinations of specific weather conditions and related factors.

机构信息

Department of Chinese Acupuncture and Traumatology, Center of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Dec;29(57):85669-85675. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-17055-8. Epub 2021 Oct 20.

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the impact of weather conditions on the daily incidence of the COVID-19 pandemic in late spring 2021 in Taiwan, which is unlike the weather conditions of the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020. Meteorological parameters such as maximum daily temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed were included. The Spearman rank correlation test was used to evaluate the relationship between weather and daily domestic COVID-19 cases. The maximum daily temperature had a positively significant correlation with daily new COVID-19 cases within a 14-day lag period, while the relative humidity and wind speed has a fairly high correlation with the number of daily cases within a 13- and 14-day lag, respectively. In addition, the weather characteristics during this period were an increasingly high temperature, with steady high relative humidity and slightly decreasing wind speed. Our study revealed the weather conditions at the time of the domestic outbreak of COVID-19 in Taiwan in May 2021 and the possible association between weather factors and the COVID-19 pandemic. Further large-scale analysis of weather factors is essential for understanding the impact of weather on the spread of infectious diseases.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨 2021 年春季末台湾 COVID-19 大流行期间天气条件对每日发病率的影响,与 2020 年 COVID-19 爆发时的天气条件不同。气象参数如日最高温度、相对湿度和风速等都包含在内。采用 Spearman 秩相关检验评估天气与每日国内 COVID-19 病例之间的关系。日最高温度与 14 天滞后期内每日新增 COVID-19 病例呈正显著相关,而相对湿度和风速与 13-14 天滞后期内每日病例数分别具有相当高的相关性。此外,这一时期的天气特征是温度持续升高,相对湿度保持较高,风速略有下降。本研究揭示了 2021 年 5 月台湾国内 COVID-19 爆发时的天气条件以及天气因素与 COVID-19 大流行之间可能存在的关联。进一步对天气因素进行大规模分析对于了解天气对传染病传播的影响至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2543/9668772/d5668f1837f9/11356_2021_17055_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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