Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Tarrytown, New York, USA.
J Clin Pharmacol. 2022 Mar;62(3):304-319. doi: 10.1002/jcph.1989. Epub 2021 Nov 24.
Real-time data collection of patient health status and medications is sped up with modern electronic devices and technologies. As real-world data provide enormous research opportunities, propensity score (PS) methods have been getting attention due to their theoretical grounds in a nonrandomized study setting. In contrast to randomized clinical trials, observational clinical data obtained from a real-world database may not have balanced distributions of patient characteristics between treatment and control groups at the beginning of the respective study. These imbalanced distributions may cause a bias in an estimated treatment effect, which needs to be eliminated. Propensity scoring is one class of statistical methods to address the imbalance issue of real-world data sets. This article provides basic concepts and assesses advantages, disadvantages, and methodological objectives of propensity scoring. Targeting clinical pharmacology researchers with limited statistical background, 5 representative methods are reviewed and visualized: matching, stratification, covariate modeling, inverse probability of treatment weighting, and doubly robust methods. Examples of applications of PS methods were selected from the literature of outcomes research and drug development, nephrology, and pediatrics. Opportunities of applications related to these examples are described. Furthermore, potential future applications of PS methods in clinical pharmacology are discussed. The 21st Century Cures Act signed in 2016 encourages scientists to find opportunities to apply propensity scoring to real-world data. This article underscores that scientists need to justify their choice of statistical methods, whether a PS method or an alternative method, based on their clinical study design, statistical assumptions, and research objectives.
现代电子设备和技术加速了患者健康状况和用药的实时数据收集。由于真实世界数据提供了巨大的研究机会,因此倾向评分(PS)方法因其在非随机研究环境中的理论基础而受到关注。与随机临床试验相比,从真实世界数据库中获得的观察性临床数据在各自研究开始时,治疗组和对照组之间的患者特征可能没有均衡分布。这些不平衡的分布可能会导致估计的治疗效果产生偏差,需要消除。倾向评分是解决真实数据集不平衡问题的一类统计方法。本文提供了基本概念,并评估了倾向评分的优点、缺点和方法学目标。针对统计学背景有限的临床药理学研究人员,本文回顾和可视化了 5 种有代表性的方法:匹配、分层、协变量建模、治疗反概率加权和双重稳健方法。从结局研究和药物开发、肾脏病学和儿科学文献中选择了 PS 方法应用的示例。描述了与这些示例相关的应用机会。此外,还讨论了 PS 方法在临床药理学中的潜在未来应用。2016 年签署的《21 世纪治愈法案》鼓励科学家寻找机会将倾向评分应用于真实世界数据。本文强调,科学家需要根据其临床研究设计、统计假设和研究目标,证明他们选择统计方法(无论是 PS 方法还是替代方法)的合理性。