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新兴国家的现代和传统可再生能源与 CO 排放。

Modern and traditional renewable energy sources and CO emissions in emerging countries.

机构信息

Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University, 1-5-1 Kagamiyama, Higashi-Hiroshima, Hiroshima, 739-8529, Japan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Mar;29(12):17695-17708. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-16669-2. Epub 2021 Oct 21.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-16669-2
PMID:34674124
Abstract

Sustainable development goals aim to promote the implementation of environmental and energy policies towards establishing a sustainable environment. Considering that energy demand has steadily increased in emerging countries along with their rapid economic growth, controlling CO emissions in these countries is crucial to achieving global environmental sustainability. An important concern is that renewable energy is generally classified into traditional and modern sources, and their relationships with environmental degradation can differ at the macroeconomic level. This study examines the link of the two renewable energy sources to CO emissions by employing an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for 31 emerging countries from 1990 to 2016. This analysis provides clear evidence of heterogeneity of the effects between traditional and modern renewable energy sources. Although CO emissions have negative associations with both traditional and modern renewable energy sources in the long-term, they are more sensitive to modern renewable energy sources than to traditional ones. These results suggest that modern renewable energy sources are an effective target for environmental and energy policies in emerging countries. Policy regulators and international communities should strengthen domestic and international schemes that facilitate the transfer of green technology, particularly, that related to modern renewable energy sources, from advanced countries to emerging countries.

摘要

可持续发展目标旨在促进环境和能源政策的实施,以建立可持续的环境。考虑到新兴国家随着经济的快速增长,能源需求稳步上升,控制这些国家的二氧化碳排放对于实现全球环境可持续性至关重要。一个重要的关注点是,可再生能源通常分为传统和现代来源,它们与环境退化的关系在宏观经济层面可能不同。本研究通过自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,对 1990 年至 2016 年间的 31 个新兴国家的两种可再生能源与二氧化碳排放之间的关系进行了检验。该分析提供了明确的证据,表明传统和现代可再生能源之间的影响存在异质性。尽管从长期来看,二氧化碳排放与传统和现代可再生能源均呈负相关,但它们对现代可再生能源的敏感性高于传统可再生能源。这些结果表明,现代可再生能源是新兴国家环境和能源政策的有效目标。政策制定者和国际社会应加强国内和国际计划,促进绿色技术,特别是现代可再生能源技术,从先进国家向新兴国家的转移。

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