Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa.
Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa.
Pharm Res. 2021 Oct;38(10):1697-1709. doi: 10.1007/s11095-021-03110-z. Epub 2021 Oct 21.
In this paper, we propose a robust Bayesian method for the assessment of average bioequivalence based on data from conventional crossover studies. We evaluate and motivate empirically the need for robust methods in bioequivalence studies by comparing the results of robust and conventional statistical methods in a large data pool of bioequivalence studies.
Robustness of the statistical methodology is achieved by replacing the normal distributions for residuals in the linear mixed model with skew-t distributions. In this way, the statistical model can accommodate skew and heavy-tailed data, particularly outliers, yielding robust statistical inference without the need for excluding outliers from the analysis. We performed a simulation study to investigate and compare the performance of the robust and conventional models.
Our study shows that in some trials, the distribution of residuals is skew and heavy-tailed. In the presence of outliers, the 90% confidence intervals for the ratio of geometric means tend to be narrower for the robust methods than for the conventional method. Our simulation study shows that the robust method has suitable frequentist properties and yields more precise confidence intervals and higher statistical power than the conventional maximum likelihood method when outliers are present in the data.
As a sensitivity analysis, we recommend the fit of robust models for handling outliers that are occasionally encountered in crossover design bioequivalence data.
本文提出了一种基于传统交叉研究数据评估平均生物等效性的稳健贝叶斯方法。我们通过比较大量生物等效性研究数据中稳健和传统统计方法的结果,从经验上评估和证明了在生物等效性研究中需要稳健方法的必要性。
通过将线性混合模型中残差的正态分布替换为偏斜 t 分布,实现统计方法的稳健性。通过这种方式,统计模型可以适应偏斜和长尾数据,特别是异常值,从而在无需从分析中排除异常值的情况下提供稳健的统计推断。我们进行了一项模拟研究,以调查和比较稳健和传统模型的性能。
我们的研究表明,在某些试验中,残差的分布是偏斜和长尾的。在存在异常值的情况下,稳健方法的几何均数比的 90%置信区间比传统方法更窄。我们的模拟研究表明,当数据中存在异常值时,稳健方法具有合适的频率论性质,并比传统的最大似然方法产生更精确的置信区间和更高的统计功效。
作为一种敏感性分析,我们建议使用稳健模型来处理在交叉设计生物等效性数据中偶尔遇到的异常值。