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通过分位数变量选择模型分析医疗保健计费

Analysis of Health Care Billing via Quantile Variable Selection Models.

作者信息

Ekin Tahir, Damien Paul

机构信息

McCoy College of Business, Texas State University, San Marcos, TX 78666, USA.

McCombs School of Business, University of Texas in Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA.

出版信息

Healthcare (Basel). 2021 Sep 27;9(10):1274. doi: 10.3390/healthcare9101274.

Abstract

Fraudulent billing of health care insurance programs such as Medicare is in the billions of dollars. The extent of such overpayments remains an issue despite the emerging use of analytical methods for fraud detection. This motivates policy makers to also be interested in the provider billing characteristics and understand the common factors that drive conservative and/or aggressive behavior. Statistical approaches to tackling this problem are confronted by the asymmetric and/or leptokurtic distributions of billing data. This paper is a first attempt at using a quantile regression framework and a variable selection approach for medical billing analysis. The proposed method addresses the varying impacts of (potentially different) variables at the different quantiles of the billing aggressiveness distribution. We use the mammography procedure to showcase our analysis and offer recommendations on fraud detection.

摘要

医疗保险项目(如医疗保险制度)的欺诈性计费高达数十亿美元。尽管出现了用于欺诈检测的分析方法,但此类多付款项的规模仍是一个问题。这促使政策制定者也对医疗服务提供者的计费特征感兴趣,并了解导致保守和/或激进行为的共同因素。解决这一问题的统计方法面临着计费数据的不对称和/或尖峰厚尾分布。本文首次尝试使用分位数回归框架和变量选择方法进行医疗计费分析。所提出的方法解决了(可能不同的)变量在计费激进程度分布的不同分位数处的不同影响。我们使用乳房X光检查程序来展示我们的分析,并就欺诈检测提供建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/33a8/8535243/a0e968836a49/healthcare-09-01274-g001.jpg

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