Ponpetch Keerati, Erko Berhanu, Bekana Teshome, Kebede Tadesse, Tian Di, Yang Yang, Liang Song
Department of Environmental and Global Health, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Microorganisms. 2021 Oct 14;9(10):2144. doi: 10.3390/microorganisms9102144.
In Ethiopia, human schistosomiasis is caused by two species of schistosome, with the former being dominant in the country, causing infections of more than 5 million people and more than 37 million at risk of infection. What is more, new transmission foci for have been reported over the past years in the country, raising concerns over the potential impacts of environmental changes (e.g., climate change) on the disease spread. Knowledge on the distribution of schistosomiasis endemic areas and associated drivers is much needed for surveillance and control programs in the country. Here we report a study that aims to examine environmental determinants underlying the distribution and suitability of endemic areas at the national scale of Ethiopia. The study identified that, among five physical environmental factors examined, soil property, elevation, and climatic factors (e.g., precipitation and temperature) are key factors associated with the distribution of endemic areas. The model predicted that the suitable areas for schistosomiasis transmission are largely distributed in northern, central, and western parts of the country, suggesting a potentially wide distribution of endemic areas. The findings of this study are potentially instrumental to inform public health surveillance, intervention, and future research on schistosomiasis in Ethiopia. The modeling approaches employed in this study may be extended to other schistosomiasis endemic regions and to other vector-borne diseases.
在埃塞俄比亚,人体血吸虫病由两种血吸虫引起,前者在该国占主导地位,导致超过500万人感染,超过3700万人面临感染风险。此外,过去几年该国报告了新的传播疫源地,这引发了人们对环境变化(如气候变化)对疾病传播的潜在影响的担忧。该国的监测和控制计划非常需要了解血吸虫病流行地区的分布及相关驱动因素。在此,我们报告一项旨在研究埃塞俄比亚全国范围内血吸虫病流行地区分布和适宜性的环境决定因素的研究。该研究确定,在所考察的五个自然环境因素中,土壤性质、海拔和气候因素(如降水量和温度)是与血吸虫病流行地区分布相关的关键因素。该模型预测,血吸虫病传播的适宜地区主要分布在该国的北部、中部和西部,这表明血吸虫病流行地区可能分布广泛。本研究的结果可能有助于为埃塞俄比亚血吸虫病的公共卫生监测、干预及未来研究提供信息。本研究采用的建模方法可能适用于其他血吸虫病流行地区及其他媒介传播疾病。
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