US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, US Army Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg, Mississippi.
Federal Emergency Management Agency, Region I, Boston, Massachusetts.
J Emerg Manag. 2021;18(7):209-223. doi: 10.5055/jem.0546.
The emergence of COVID-19 in the United States has overwhelmed local hospitals, produced shortages in critical protective supplies for medical staff, and created backlogs in burials and cremations. Because systemic disruptions occur most acutely at a local scale, facilitating resource coordination across a broad region can assist local responses to COVID-19 surges. This article describes a structured systems approach for coordinating COVID-19 resource distribution across the six New England states of the United States. The framework combines modeling tools to anticipate resource shortages in medical supplies, personnel needs, and fatality management for individual states. The approach allows decision makers to understand the magnitude of local outbreaks and equitably allocate resources within a region based on the present and future needs. This model contributed to determining material distribution in New England as the 2020 COVID-19 surges unfolded in the spring and fall seasons. Using a systems analysis, the model demonstrates the translation of anticipated COVID-19 cases into resource demands to enable regional coordination of scarce resources.
美国 COVID-19 的爆发使当地医院不堪重负,医护人员关键防护用品短缺,并导致埋葬和火化工作积压。由于系统中断最严重的是在地方层面,因此在广泛的地区内促进资源协调可以帮助当地应对 COVID-19 疫情的激增。本文描述了一种结构化的系统方法,用于协调美国新英格兰六个州的 COVID-19 资源分配。该框架结合了建模工具,以预测个别州的医疗用品、人员需求和死亡管理方面的资源短缺。该方法使决策者能够了解当地疫情的严重程度,并根据当前和未来的需求在区域内公平分配资源。该模型有助于确定新英格兰地区在 2020 年春季和秋季 COVID-19 疫情爆发期间的物资分配。通过系统分析,该模型展示了将预期的 COVID-19 病例转化为资源需求,以实现稀缺资源的区域协调。