Risk of Developing Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in South Asian Women with History of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) represent two different components of the spectrum of diabetes mellitus (DM). Women with GDM have a high chance of developing T2DM in later life and this relative risk depends on a number of factors including ethnicity.

AIM

To compare and estimate the risk of developing T2DM in South Asian women with a history of GDM compared to those without a history of GDM.

METHODS

This is a systematic review of PubMed and MEDLINE articles reporting the progression of GDM to T2DM that were published in English from 2000 to 2020. We performed meta-analysis to calculate risk ratios (RR).

RESULTS

We selected 6 studies considering the inclusion and exclusion criteria after sorting 25 full-text articles. Of the 44165 South Asian women assessed, 3095 had GDM and 41070 were without GDM. 995 women in GDM group and 1525 women in non-GDM group had developed T2DM. The RR of women with GDM over non-GDM in developing T2DM was 10.81 (95% confidence interval (CI): 7.61-15.35) suggesting that women with GDM are at 10.81 times more risk of developing T2DM than non-GDM. The cumulative incidence of T2DM in GDM group was 17.34% at 5 years of follow-up and 33% at more than 10 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

The risk of developing T2DM in later life is higher in South Asian women with GDM than without GDM. Therefore, lifestyle and pharmacological interventions, patient communication, timely screening, and long-term follow-up of GDM patients are important to reduce the risk.