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重复性调查对西非濒危鳄鱼的可探测性及影响

Detectability and impact of repetitive surveys on threatened West African crocodylians.

作者信息

Ahizi Michel N, Kouman Christine Y, Ouattara Allassane, Kouamé N'Dri Pascal, Dede Azani, Fairet Emilie, Shirley Matthew H

机构信息

Université Nangui-Abrogoua Abidjan Côte d'Ivoire.

Project Mecistops Sarasota Florida USA.

出版信息

Ecol Evol. 2021 Oct 7;11(21):15062-15076. doi: 10.1002/ece3.8188. eCollection 2021 Nov.

Abstract

West African crocodylians are among the most threatened and least studied crocodylian species globally. Assessing population status and establishing a basis for population monitoring is the highest priority action for this region. Monitoring of crocodiles is influenced by many factors that affect detectability, including environmental variables and individual- or population-level wariness. We investigated how these factors affect detectability and counts of the critically endangered and the newly recognized . We implemented 195 repetitive surveys at 38 sites across Côte d'Ivoire between 2014 and 2019. We used an occupancy-based approach and a count-based GLMM analysis to determine the effect of environmental and anthropogenic variables on detection and modeled crocodile wariness over repetitive surveys. Despite their rarity and level of threat, detection probability of both species was relatively high (0.75 for and 0.81 for . ), but a minimum of two surveys were required to infer absence of either species with 90% confidence. We found that detection of .  was significantly negatively influenced by fishing net encounter rate, while high temperature for the previous 48 h of the day of the survey increased .  detection. Precipitation and aquatic vegetation had significant negative and positive influence, respectively, on .  counts and showed the opposite effect for .  counts. We also found that fishing encounter rate had a significant negative effect on .  counts. Interestingly, survey repetition did not generally affect wariness for either species, though there was some indication that at least .  was more wary by the fourth replicate. These results are informative for designing future survey and monitoring protocols for these threatened crocodylians in West Africa and for other endangered crocodylians globally.

摘要

西非鳄鱼是全球受威胁最严重且研究最少的鳄鱼物种之一。评估种群状况并建立种群监测基础是该地区的首要行动。鳄鱼监测受到许多影响可探测性的因素制约,包括环境变量以及个体或种群层面的警惕性。我们研究了这些因素如何影响极度濒危的[物种名称1]和新确认的[物种名称2]的可探测性及数量统计。2014年至2019年期间,我们在科特迪瓦的38个地点进行了195次重复调查。我们采用基于占有率的方法和基于计数的广义线性混合模型分析,以确定环境和人为变量对探测的影响,并对重复调查中鳄鱼的警惕性进行建模。尽管这两个物种稀有且面临威胁程度高,但它们的探测概率相对较高([物种名称1]为0.75,[物种名称2]为0.81),但至少需要两次调查才能以90%的置信度推断任一物种不存在。我们发现,[物种名称1]的探测受到渔网相遇率的显著负面影响,而调查当天前48小时的高温增加了[物种名称1]的探测率。降水和水生植被分别对[物种名称2]的数量有显著的负面影响和正面影响,而对[物种名称1]的数量影响则相反。我们还发现捕鱼相遇率对[物种名称2]的数量有显著负面影响。有趣的是,调查重复一般不会影响任一物种的警惕性,不过有迹象表明至少[物种名称1]在第四次重复调查时更加警惕。这些结果为设计未来西非这些受威胁鳄鱼以及全球其他濒危鳄鱼的调查和监测方案提供了参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a162/8571622/8bb057b80dec/ECE3-11-15062-g002.jpg

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