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停滞悖论:不断改善但(或多或少)处于静止状态的种群适应度。

The stagnation paradox: the ever-improving but (more or less) stationary population fitness.

机构信息

Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Winterthurerstrasse 190, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Proc Biol Sci. 2021 Nov 24;288(1963):20212145. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2021.2145. Epub 2021 Nov 17.

Abstract

Fisher's fundamental theorem states that natural selection improves mean fitness. Fitness, in turn, is often equated with population growth. This leads to an absurd prediction that life evolves to ever-faster growth rates, yet no one seriously claims generally slower population growth rates in the Triassic compared with the present day. I review here, using non-technical language, how fitness can improve yet stay constant (stagnation paradox), and why an unambiguous measure of population fitness does not exist. Subfields use different terminology for aspects of the paradox, referring to stasis, cryptic evolution or the difficulty of choosing an appropriate fitness measure; known resolutions likewise use diverse terms from environmental feedback to density dependence and 'evolutionary environmental deterioration'. The paradox vanishes when these concepts are understood, and adaptation can lead to declining reproductive output of a population when individuals can improve their fitness by exploiting conspecifics. This is particularly readily observable when males participate in a zero-sum game over paternity and population output depends more strongly on female than male fitness. Even so, the jury is still out regarding the effect of sexual conflict on population fitness. Finally, life-history theory and genetic studies of microevolutionary change could pay more attention to each other.

摘要

费希尔基本定理指出,自然选择会提高平均适应度。适应度反过来又常常等同于种群增长率。这就导致了一个荒谬的预测,即生命进化会导致越来越快的增长率,但没有人认真声称三叠纪的人口增长率普遍比现在慢。我在这里用非技术语言回顾了适应度如何在保持不变的情况下提高(停滞悖论),以及为什么不存在明确的种群适应度衡量标准。子领域使用不同的术语来描述悖论的各个方面,例如停滞、隐性进化或选择适当适应度衡量标准的困难;已知的解决方案同样使用从环境反馈到密度依赖和“进化环境恶化”等不同术语。当这些概念被理解时,悖论就会消失,当个体通过利用同种个体来提高自身适应性时,种群的生殖产出可能会下降。当雄性在亲权方面进行零和博弈,并且种群产出更多地依赖于雌性适应性而不是雄性适应性时,这种情况尤其容易观察到。即便如此,关于性冲突对种群适应性的影响,仍存在争议。最后,生命史理论和微观进化遗传研究可以更加关注彼此。

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