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基于高级肺癌炎症指数的列线图预测冠状动脉疾病和钙化。

Nomograms Based on the Advanced Lung Cancer Inflammation Index for the Prediction of Coronary Artery Disease and Calcification.

机构信息

117914The Affiliated Hospital of Chengde Medical University, Chengde, HeBei, China.

出版信息

Clin Appl Thromb Hemost. 2021 Jan-Dec;27:10760296211060455. doi: 10.1177/10760296211060455.

Abstract

AIM

To develop and validate 3 nomograms incorporating the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) that can aid in predicting the risk of coronary artery disease (CAD) and coronary artery calcification (CAC).

METHODS

The study enrolled 562 consecutive patients with suspected CAD who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography between September 2015 and June 2017. Independent risk factors for CAD, CAC, and CAD with CAC were identified via univariate and multivariate analysis, and nomograms were established based on the independent predictors identified. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the nomograms. Correlations between ALI and other clinical indicators were examined via Spearman correlation analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 549 patients with suspected CAD who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography were included. Male sex, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, ischemic stroke, and ALI were independent predictors of both CAD and CAC. Male sex, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and ALI were also identified as independent predictors of CAD with CAC. The AUC values for the nomograms developed using these risk factors were 0.739 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.693-0.785), 0.728 (95% CI, 0.684-0.772), and 0.717 (95% CI 0.673-0.761), respectively. ALI was negatively correlated with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and CAC score and positively correlated with serum albumin levels and body mass index (all  < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

ALI is an independent predictor of CAD, CAC, and CAD with CAC. Our ALI-based nomograms can provide accurate and individualized risk predictions for patients with suspected CAD.

摘要

目的

开发和验证 3 个包含高级肺癌炎症指数(ALI)的列线图,以帮助预测冠状动脉疾病(CAD)和冠状动脉钙化(CAC)的风险。

方法

本研究纳入了 2015 年 9 月至 2017 年 6 月间接受冠状动脉计算机断层血管造影术的 562 例疑似 CAD 患者。通过单因素和多因素分析确定 CAD、CAC 和 CAD 伴 CAC 的独立危险因素,并基于确定的独立预测因素建立列线图。使用曲线下面积(AUC)、校准曲线和决策曲线分析来评估列线图。通过 Spearman 相关分析检查 ALI 与其他临床指标之间的相关性。

结果

共纳入 549 例接受冠状动脉计算机断层血管造影术的疑似 CAD 患者。男性、高血压、糖尿病、血脂异常、缺血性卒中和 ALI 是 CAD 和 CAC 的独立预测因素。男性、高血压、糖尿病、血脂异常和 ALI 也是 CAD 伴 CAC 的独立预测因素。使用这些危险因素建立的列线图的 AUC 值分别为 0.739(95%置信区间[CI],0.693-0.785)、0.728(95% CI,0.684-0.772)和 0.717(95% CI 0.673-0.761)。ALI 与中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值和 CAC 评分呈负相关,与血清白蛋白水平和体重指数呈正相关(均<.05)。

结论

ALI 是 CAD、CAC 和 CAD 伴 CAC 的独立预测因素。我们基于 ALI 的列线图可为疑似 CAD 患者提供准确和个体化的风险预测。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cfbe/8619753/f78332f55ded/10.1177_10760296211060455-fig1.jpg

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