Groupe ALTEN, France.
Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi 24, Turin, Italy.
PLoS One. 2021 Nov 17;16(11):e0258995. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258995. eCollection 2021.
In this paper, we use a Delphi approach to investigate whether, and to what extent, blockchain-based applications might affect firms' organizations, innovations, and strategies by 2030, and, consequently, which societal areas may be mainly affected. We provide a deep understanding of how the adoption of this technology could lead to changes in Europe over multiple dimensions, ranging from business to culture and society, policy and regulation, economy, and technology. From the projections that reached a significant consensus and were given a high probability of occurrence by the experts, we derive four scenarios built around two main dimensions: the digitization of assets and the change in business models.
在本文中，我们采用 Delphi 方法研究了到 2030 年，基于区块链的应用程序是否以及在何种程度上可能影响公司的组织、创新和战略，以及哪些社会领域可能受到主要影响。我们深入了解了这项技术的采用如何在多个维度上导致欧洲发生变化，包括商业、文化和社会、政策和法规、经济和技术。从专家们达成显著共识并认为极有可能发生的预测中，我们得出了围绕两个主要维度构建的四个情景：资产数字化和商业模式变革。
