Matheson Center for Health Care Studies, University of Utah, 295 Chipeta Way, Salt Lake City, UT, 84108, USA.
Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Sci Rep. 2021 Nov 17;11(1):22440. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-01831-0.
Governments have developed and implemented various policies and interventions to fight the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19 vaccines are now being produced and distributed globally. This study investigated the role of good governance and government effectiveness indicators in the acquisition and administration of COVID-19 vaccines at the population level. Data on six World Bank good governance indicators for 172 countries for 2019 and machine-learning methods (K-Means Method and Principal Component Analysis) were used to cluster countries based on these indicators and COVID-19 vaccination rates. XGBoost was used to classify countries based on their vaccination status and identify the relative contribution of each governance indicator to the vaccination rollout in each country. Countries with the highest COVID-19 vaccination rates (e.g., Israel, United Arab Emirates, United States) also have higher effective governance indicators. Regulatory Quality is the most important indicator in predicting COVID-19 vaccination status in a country, followed by Voice and Accountability, and Government Effectiveness. Our findings suggest that coordinated global efforts led by the World Health Organization and wealthier nations may be necessary to assist in the supply and distribution of vaccines to those countries that have less effective governance.
各国政府制定并实施了各种政策和干预措施来应对 COVID-19 大流行。目前,COVID-19 疫苗正在全球范围内生产和分发。本研究调查了善治和政府效能指标在人群层面获取和管理 COVID-19 疫苗方面的作用。本研究使用了世界银行针对 2019 年 172 个国家的六项善治指标的数据和机器学习方法(K-Means 方法和主成分分析),根据这些指标和 COVID-19 疫苗接种率对国家进行聚类。XGBoost 用于根据疫苗接种状况对国家进行分类,并确定每个治理指标对每个国家疫苗推广的相对贡献。COVID-19 疫苗接种率最高的国家(如以色列、阿拉伯联合酋长国、美国)也具有更高的有效治理指标。监管质量是预测一个国家 COVID-19 疫苗接种状况的最重要指标,其次是发言权和问责制以及政府效能。我们的研究结果表明,可能需要由世界卫生组织和较富裕国家牵头开展协调一致的全球努力,以协助向治理效率较低的国家供应和分发疫苗。