Weighted pseudo-values for partly unobserved group membership in paediatric stem cell transplantation studies.

Generalised pseudo-values have been suggested to evaluate the impact of allogeneic stem cell transplantation on childhood leukaemia. The approach compares long-term survival of two cohorts defined by the availability or non-availability of suitable donors for stem cell transplantation. A patient's cohort membership becomes known only after completed donor search with or without an identified donor. If a patient suffers an event during donor search, stem cell transplantation will no longer be indicated. In such a case, donor search will be ceased and cohort membership will remain unknown. The generalised pseudo-values approach considers donor identification as binary time-dependent covariate and uses inverse-probability-of-censoring weighting to adjust for non-identified donors. The approach leads to time-consuming computations due to multiple redefinitions of the risk set for pseudo-value calculation and an explicit adjustment for waiting-time bias. Here, the problem is looked at from a different angle. By considering the probability that a donor would have been identified after ceasing of donor search, weights for common pseudo-values are defined. This leads to a faster alternative approach as only a single risk set is necessary. Extensive computer simulations show that both, the generalised and the new weighted pseudo-values approach, provide approximately unbiased estimates. Confidence interval coverage is satisfactory for typical clinical scenarios. In situations, where donor identification takes considerably longer than usual, the weighted pseudo-values approach is preferable. Both approaches complement each other as they have different potential in addressing further aspects of the underlying medical question.