Suppr超能文献

在奶牛犊牛哺乳期前阶段,采用加性贝叶斯网络分析牛呼吸道疾病与管理措施之间的关系。

Additive Bayesian network analysis of the relationship between bovine respiratory disease and management practices in dairy heifer calves at pre-weaning stage.

机构信息

Epidemiology Unit, National Institute of Animal Health, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Ibaraki, 305-0856, Tsukuba, Japan.

Animal Research Center, Agricultural Research Department, Hokkaido Research Organization, 081-0038, Shintoku, Hokkaido, Japan.

出版信息

BMC Vet Res. 2021 Nov 23;17(1):360. doi: 10.1186/s12917-021-03018-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Nursery farms that accept nursing and growing pre-weaned heifer calves from private dairy farms must work to prevent bovine respiratory disease (BRD). Knowledge of the BRD-associated risk factors related to calf management and calves' condition will help to develop appropriate neonatal management practices at original farms and to identify calves at higher risk for BRD at nursery farms. In this study, the relationship between BRD and calf management practices (colostrum feeding, dam parity, serum total protein concentration at introduction (TP), body weight at introduction, introduction season, and daily average growth) was investigated using observational data from pre-weaned dairy calves introduced into a nursery farm in Hokkaido, Japan between 2014 and 2018 (n = 3185). Using additive Bayesian network (ABN) analysis, which is a multivariate statistical modelling approach, the direct and indirect associations between these factors were assessed.

RESULTS

Colostrum feeding contributed to an increase in TP (correlation 1.02 [95 % CI, 0.94;1.10]), which was negatively associated with BRD directly (log odds ratio - 0.38 [- 0.46;-0.31]) and indirectly through increasing daily growth (correlation 0.12 [0.09;0.16]). Calves of multiparous dams had higher body weight at introduction (correlation 0.82 [0.74;0.89]), which indirectly reduced BRD risk through the increasing daily growth (correlation 0.17 [0.14;0.21]). Calves introduced during winter had the highest risk for BRD (log odds ratio 0.29 [0.15;0.44]), while those introduced in summer had the lowest risk (log odds ratio - 0.91 [- 1.06;-0.75]). The introduction season was also associated with BRD indirectly through dam parity, body weight at introduction, and daily growth.

CONCLUSIONS

The following calf management practices are recommended for preventing BRD in pre-weaned calves at nursery farms: (1) encouraging colostrum feeding to neonatal calves at their original farms; and (2) identifying calves with higher BRD risk, i.e., those without feeding colostrum, born to primiparous cattle, with low body weight at introduction, and/or introduced in winter, and paying intensive attention to the calves for rapid detection of BRD. ABN analysis applied enabled us to understand the complex inter-relationships between BRD incidence and the risk factors, which will help to reduce BRD incidence and to rear healthy calves at nursery farms.

摘要

背景

托儿所农场必须努力预防牛呼吸道疾病 (BRD),这些农场接收来自私人奶牛场的哺乳期和正在断奶的小母牛。了解与小牛管理和小牛状况相关的 BRD 相关风险因素将有助于在原始农场制定适当的新生儿管理实践,并确定托儿所农场中 BRD 风险较高的小牛。在这项研究中,使用 2014 年至 2018 年间在日本北海道的托儿所农场引入的未断奶奶牛的观察数据(n=3185),使用观察数据研究了 BRD 与小牛管理实践(初乳喂养、母畜胎次、引入时的血清总蛋白浓度(TP)、引入时的体重、引入季节和日平均生长)之间的关系。使用加性贝叶斯网络(ABN)分析,这是一种多变量统计建模方法,评估了这些因素之间的直接和间接关联。

结果

初乳喂养导致 TP 增加(相关性 1.02 [95%置信区间,0.94;1.10]),这直接(对数优势比-0.38 [-0.46;-0.31])和间接(通过增加日生长)与 BRD 呈负相关(相关性 0.12 [0.09;0.16])。多胎次母畜的小牛在引入时体重较高(相关性 0.82 [0.74;0.89]),通过增加日生长(相关性 0.17 [0.14;0.21])间接降低 BRD 风险。冬季引入的小牛患 BRD 的风险最高(对数优势比 0.29 [0.15;0.44]),而夏季引入的小牛患 BRD 的风险最低(对数优势比-0.91 [-0.96;-0.75])。引入季节也通过母畜胎次、引入时体重和日生长与 BRD 间接相关。

结论

建议在托儿所农场对未断奶的小牛采取以下管理措施预防 BRD:(1)鼓励原始农场的新生小牛初乳喂养;(2)识别出具有更高 BRD 风险的小牛,即未进行初乳喂养、由初产母牛所生、引入时体重较低和/或在冬季引入的小牛,并对其进行密集关注,以便快速发现 BRD。应用 ABN 分析使我们能够了解 BRD 发病率与风险因素之间的复杂相互关系,这将有助于降低 BRD 发病率,并在托儿所农场饲养健康的小牛。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/55c3/8609815/597af1aa1301/12917_2021_3018_Fig1_HTML.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验