Institute of the High Commercial Studies Carthage (IHEC Carthage), University of Carthage, Tunis, Tunisia.
QUARG UR17ES26, ESCT, Campus University of Manouba, 2010, Manouba, Tunisia.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Apr;29(17):25248-25262. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-17628-7. Epub 2021 Nov 28.
This study is focused on analyzing the linkage between carbon dioxide (CO) emissions, renewable energy consumption (RE), foreign direct investment (FDI), national patents (NP), exports (X), imports (M), and gross domestic product (GDP) in Tunisia by using the time series data from 1980 to 2017. A unit root test and an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were applied to avoid bias caused by data mismatch and autocorrelation of time series data. Elasticity long-run test shows that renewable energy consumption, exports, and gross domestic product have a positive impact on CO emissions, while foreign direct investment acts negatively on CO emissions. Depending on the error correction term test, there is a long-run causality: from CO emissions, renewable energy, foreign direct investment, exports, and gross domestic product to home patent. Findings of the short-run causality show that there is a unidirectional causality running from exports to CO emissions and from exports to gross domestic product. Our results also show that Tunisia should encourage foreign direct investment because it seems to be an important factor in the mitigation of CO emissions.
本研究通过使用 1980 年至 2017 年的时间序列数据,集中分析突尼斯二氧化碳(CO)排放、可再生能源消费(RE)、外国直接投资(FDI)、国家专利(NP)、出口(X)、进口(M)和国内生产总值(GDP)之间的联系。应用单位根检验和自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,以避免数据不匹配和时间序列数据自相关引起的偏差。弹性长期测试表明,可再生能源消费、出口和国内生产总值对 CO 排放有正向影响,而外国直接投资对 CO 排放有负向影响。根据误差修正项检验,存在长期因果关系:从 CO 排放、可再生能源、外国直接投资、出口和国内生产总值到国内专利。短期因果关系的发现表明,出口与 CO 排放之间以及出口与国内生产总值之间存在单向因果关系。我们的结果还表明,突尼斯应该鼓励外国直接投资,因为它似乎是缓解 CO 排放的一个重要因素。