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最小充分平衡、最小化和分层随机区组对二分类结局序贯临床试验中处理效应估计的偏倚和效能的影响。

Impact of minimal sufficient balance, minimization, and stratified permuted blocks on bias and power in the estimation of treatment effect in sequential clinical trials with a binary endpoint.

机构信息

1539Eli Lilly & Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA.

Department of Public Health Sciences, 2345Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC, USA.

出版信息

Stat Methods Med Res. 2022 Jan;31(1):184-204. doi: 10.1177/09622802211055856. Epub 2021 Nov 29.

Abstract

Minimization is among the most common methods for controlling baseline covariate imbalance at the randomization phase of clinical trials. Previous studies have found that minimization does not preserve allocation randomness as well as other methods, such as minimal sufficient balance, making it more vulnerable to allocation predictability and selection bias. Additionally, minimization has been shown in simulation studies to inadequately control serious covariate imbalances when modest biased coin probabilities (≤0.65) are used. This current study extends the investigation of randomization methods to the analysis phase, comparing the impact of treatment allocation methods on power and bias in estimating treatment effects on a binary outcome using logistic regression. Power and bias in the estimation of treatment effect was found to be comparable across complete randomization, minimization, and minimal sufficient balance in unadjusted analyses. Further, minimal sufficient balance was found to have the most modest impact on power and the least bias in covariate-adjusted analyses. The minimal sufficient balance method is recommended for use in clinical trials as an alternative to minimization when covariate-adaptive subject randomization takes place.

摘要

最小化是临床试验随机化阶段控制基线协变量不均衡的最常用方法之一。先前的研究发现,最小化并不能像最小充分平衡等其他方法那样保持分配的随机性,因此更容易受到分配可预测性和选择偏差的影响。此外,模拟研究表明,当使用适度偏置的硬币概率(≤0.65)时,最小化不能充分控制严重的协变量不均衡。本研究将随机化方法的研究扩展到分析阶段,比较了不同的处理分配方法对使用逻辑回归估计二分类结局处理效应的功效和偏差的影响。在未调整分析中,完全随机化、最小化和最小充分平衡的处理效果估计的功效和偏差相当。此外,最小充分平衡在协变量调整分析中对功效的影响最小,对偏差的影响最小。当进行基于协变量的适应性受试者随机化时,建议在临床试验中使用最小充分平衡作为最小化的替代方法。

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本文引用的文献

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