Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, Madrid, Spain.
Methodological Support Unit, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, Madrid, Spain.
J Med Virol. 2022 Apr;94(4):1540-1549. doi: 10.1002/jmv.27488. Epub 2021 Dec 7.
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection in elderly patients is more aggressive and treatments have shown limited efficacy. Our objective is to describe the clinical course and to analyze the prognostic factors associated with a higher risk of mortality of a cohort of patients older than 80 years. In addition, we assess the efficacy of immunosuppressive treatments in this population. We analyzed the data from 163 patients older than 80 years admitted to our institution for COVID-19, during March and April 2020. A Lasso regression model and subsequent multivariate Cox regression were performed to select variables predictive of death. We evaluated the efficacy of immunomodulatory therapy in three cohorts using adjusted survival analysis. The mortality rate was 43%. The mean age was 85.2 years. The disease was considered severe in 76.1% of the cases. Lasso regression and multivariate Cox regression indicated that factors correlated with hospital mortality were: age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-1.22), alcohol consumption (HR 3.15, 95% CI: 1.27-7.84), CRP > 10 mg/dL (HR 2.67, 95% CI: 1.36-5.24), and oxygen support with Venturi Mask (HR 6.37, 95% CI: 2.18-18.62) or reservoir (HR 7.87, 95% CI: 3.37-18.38). Previous treatment with antiplatelets was the only protective factor (HR 0.47, 95% CI: 0.23-0.96). In the adjusted treatment efficacy analysis, we found benefit in the combined use of tocilizumab (TCZ) and corticosteroids (CS) (HR 0.09, 95% CI: 0.01-0.74) compared to standard treatment, with no benefit of CS alone (HR 0.95, 95% CI: 0.53-1.71). Hospitalized elderly patients suffer from a severe and often fatal form of COVID-19 disease. In this regard, several parameters might identify high-risk patients upon admission. Combined use of TCZ and CS could improve survival.
2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)感染在老年患者中更为侵袭性,且治疗效果有限。我们的目的是描述这组 80 岁以上患者的临床病程,并分析与死亡率升高相关的预后因素。此外,我们评估了免疫抑制治疗在该人群中的疗效。我们分析了 2020 年 3 月至 4 月期间我院收治的 163 例 80 岁以上的 COVID-19 患者的数据。使用 Lasso 回归模型和随后的多变量 Cox 回归选择与死亡相关的预测变量。我们使用调整后的生存分析评估了三个队列中免疫调节治疗的疗效。死亡率为 43%。平均年龄为 85.2 岁。76.1%的病例被认为病情严重。Lasso 回归和多变量 Cox 回归表明,与住院死亡率相关的因素包括:年龄(危险比 [HR] 1.12,95%置信区间 [CI]:1.03-1.22)、饮酒(HR 3.15,95% CI:1.27-7.84)、C 反应蛋白(CRP)>10mg/dL(HR 2.67,95% CI:1.36-5.24)和文丘里面罩(HR 6.37,95% CI:2.18-18.62)或储氧器(HR 7.87,95% CI:3.37-18.38)进行氧疗。先前使用抗血小板治疗是唯一的保护因素(HR 0.47,95%CI:0.23-0.96)。在调整后的治疗效果分析中,与标准治疗相比,托珠单抗(TCZ)联合皮质类固醇(CS)的联合使用具有益处(HR 0.09,95%CI:0.01-0.74),而单独使用 CS 则没有益处(HR 0.95,95%CI:0.53-1.71)。住院的老年患者患有严重且常常致命的 COVID-19 疾病。在这方面,入院时的几个参数可能会识别高危患者。TCZ 和 CS 的联合使用可以提高生存率。