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美国生物制药公司对新冠疫情的股市反应。从可持续性角度理解“矛盾螺旋”概念。

US biopharmaceutical companies' stock market reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding the concept of the 'paradoxical spiral' from a sustainability perspective.

作者信息

Piñeiro-Chousa Juan, López-Cabarcos M Ángeles, Quiñoá-Piñeiro Lara, Pérez-Pico Ada M

机构信息

University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain.

出版信息

Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2022 Feb;175:121365. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121365. Epub 2021 Nov 22.

Abstract

In an uncertain and finite world, actions towards the development of a green economy are attracting wider support. The damaging anthropogenic impact on earth systems is leading humanity to devastating situations, jeopardizing its very survival. A new world scenario has emerged with COVID-19, where the biopharmaceutical sector has arisen as a powerful effective solution for the health, economic and social crisis derived from the pandemic. This research aims to study the stock market reaction of the two US biopharmaceutical companies that first developed messenger RNA vaccines against COVID-19 (Pfizer and Moderna), considering two time periods, before and during COVID. In the analysis, the influence of the technological market index, market volatility, and investor sentiment are also considered. The results show an unequal influence of market volatility and market sentiment on the returns of both companies, as well as a different volatility behaviour. Furthermore, a contagion effect is observed during the COVID period between both companies and the technological market. The study's findings provide investors, organizations, policy-makers and society with useful information for the design of policies and strategies that ultimately are called to ensure sustainable growth for future generations.

摘要

在一个不确定且有限的世界里,发展绿色经济的行动正获得更广泛的支持。人类活动对地球系统造成的破坏性影响正将人类引向毁灭性的境地,危及人类的生存。新冠疫情出现了一种新的世界局面,生物制药行业已成为应对疫情引发的健康、经济和社会危机的有力有效解决方案。本研究旨在考察两家率先研发出针对新冠病毒的信使核糖核酸疫苗的美国生物制药公司(辉瑞和莫德纳)在新冠疫情之前和期间这两个时间段的股市反应。在分析中,还考虑了科技市场指数、市场波动性和投资者情绪的影响。结果表明,市场波动性和市场情绪对两家公司回报的影响不均衡,且波动行为也有所不同。此外,在新冠疫情期间,观察到两家公司与科技市场之间存在传染效应。该研究的结果为投资者、组织、政策制定者和社会提供了有用信息,有助于设计最终旨在确保子孙后代可持续增长的政策和战略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a9ef/8612827/6efc2e36460d/gr1_lrg.jpg

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