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丹麦患有骨转移癌的癌症患者的感染和死亡风险:一项基于人群的队列研究。

Risk of infections and mortality in Danish patients with cancer diagnosed with bone metastases: a population-based cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark

Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Midtjylland, Denmark.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2021 Dec 1;11(12):e049831. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049831.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Risk of infections in patients with solid cancers and bone metastases (BM) and the subsequent impact on prognosis is unclear. We examined the risk of infections among patients with cancer diagnosed with BM and the subsequent impact of infections on mortality.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study.

SETTING

Danish medical databases holding information on all hospital contacts in Denmark.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients with solid cancers and BM between 1 January 1994 and 30 November 2013.

OUTCOME MEASURES

In the risk analyses, the outcome was time to hospitalisation for common severe infections, pneumonia, sepsis and urinary tract infections. In the mortality analysis, we used Cox regression to compute HRs of death, modelling infection as time-varying exposure, stratifying for primary cancer type and adjusting for age, sex and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Among 23 336 patients with cancer and BM, cumulative incidences of common severe infections were 4.6%, 14.0% and 20.0% during 1 month, 1 year and 10 years follow-up. The highest incidence was observed for pneumonia, followed by urinary tract infections and sepsis. Infection was a strong predictor of 1 month mortality (adjusted HR: 2.1 (95% CI 1.8 to 2.3)) and HRs increased after 1 and 10 years: 2.4 (95% CI 2.3 to 2.6) and 2.4 (95% CI 2.4 to 2.6). Sepsis and pneumonia were the strongest predictors of death. Results were consistent across cancer types.

CONCLUSION

Patients with cancer and BM were at high risk of infections, which was associated with a more than twofold increased risk of death for up to 10 years of follow-up. The findings underscore the importance of preventing infections in patients with cancer and BM.

摘要

目的

患有实体瘤和骨转移(BM)的患者发生感染的风险及其对预后的后续影响尚不清楚。我们研究了诊断为 BM 的癌症患者发生感染的风险,以及感染对死亡率的后续影响。

设计

基于人群的队列研究。

设置

丹麦医疗数据库,包含丹麦所有医院就诊信息。

参与者

1994 年 1 月 1 日至 2013 年 11 月 30 日期间患有实体瘤和 BM 的成年患者。

结局测量

在风险分析中,结局为因常见严重感染、肺炎、败血症和尿路感染住院的时间。在死亡率分析中,我们使用 Cox 回归计算感染作为时变暴露的死亡风险比(HR),对主要癌症类型进行分层,并根据年龄、性别和合并症进行调整。

结果

在 23336 名患有癌症和 BM 的患者中,1 个月、1 年和 10 年随访期间常见严重感染的累积发生率分别为 4.6%、14.0%和 20.0%。发生率最高的是肺炎,其次是尿路感染和败血症。感染是 1 个月死亡率的强预测因素(调整后的 HR:2.1(95%CI 1.8 至 2.3)),并且在 1 年和 10 年后 HR 增加:2.4(95%CI 2.3 至 2.6)和 2.4(95%CI 2.4 至 2.6)。败血症和肺炎是死亡的最强预测因素。结果在各种癌症类型中一致。

结论

患有癌症和 BM 的患者感染风险很高,在长达 10 年的随访中,死亡风险增加了两倍以上。这些发现强调了预防癌症和 BM 患者感染的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/81c6/8638452/7fe345dd7970/bmjopen-2021-049831f01.jpg

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