Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
Prehospital and Emergency Research Centre, Health Services & Systems Research, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.
BMC Health Serv Res. 2021 Dec 4;21(1):1305. doi: 10.1186/s12913-021-07309-z.
This study aimed to determine to what extent an aging population and shift to chronic illness has contributed to emergency admissions at a tertiary care hospital over ten years.
This was a retrospective observational study performed using a database of all emergency admissions from the Emergency Department (ED) at a single tertiary hospital in Singapore during a ten-year period (January 1st, 2008 to December 31st, 2017). Emergency admissions were defined as ED visits with inpatient admission as the disposition. This study analyzed the trends of demographics, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic conditions or ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC) of all patients who underwent emergency admissions in Singapore General Hospital.
A total of 446,484 emergency records were included. For elderly patients, the proportions of them had pre-existing multimorbidity at the time of undergoing emergency admissions were found to be lower at the end the 10-year study period relative to the beginning of the study period. The proportions of emergency admissions whose ED primary diagnoses were categorized as chronic conditions and certain chronic ACSC including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes complications, and epilepsy also decreased for elderly patients over the 10-year study period.
In Singapore, despite a rapidly aging population, there have been surprisingly lower proportions of chronic conditions, pre-existing comorbidities, and chronic ACSC among the elderly emergency admissions. This is possibly consistent with an overall improved management of the chronic conditions among the elderly population. Future studies should include similar studies at the national level and comparison with other healthcare settings in different countries.
本研究旨在确定人口老龄化和向慢性病的转变在多大程度上导致了一家三级保健医院十年来的急诊入院率上升。
这是一项回顾性观察研究,使用了新加坡一家三级医院急诊科(ED)十年期间(2008 年 1 月 1 日至 2017 年 12 月 31 日)所有急诊入院的数据库。急诊入院定义为 ED 就诊后以住院为处置方式。本研究分析了新加坡综合医院所有急诊入院患者的人口统计学、既往合并症、慢性病或门诊医疗敏感条件(ACSC)的趋势。
共纳入 446484 份急诊记录。对于老年患者,在 10 年研究期间结束时,他们在急诊入院时患有既往多种合并症的比例相对于研究开始时有所降低。在 10 年研究期间,老年患者的急诊入院中,ED 主要诊断被归类为慢性病和某些慢性 ACSC 的比例也有所下降,包括慢性阻塞性肺疾病、充血性心力衰竭、糖尿病并发症和癫痫。
在新加坡,尽管人口迅速老龄化,但老年急诊入院患者的慢性病、既往合并症和慢性 ACSC 的比例出人意料地较低。这可能与老年人群慢性病整体管理水平的提高相一致。未来的研究应包括在全国范围内进行类似的研究,并与其他国家的不同医疗保健环境进行比较。