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预测区间应纳入牙科领域发表的荟萃分析中。

Prediction intervals should be included in meta-analyses published in dentistry.

作者信息

Faggion Clovis Mariano, Menne Max Clemens, Pandis Nikolaos

机构信息

Department of Periodontology and Operative Dentistry, Faculty of Dentistry, University Hospital Münster, Münster, Germany.

Department of Orthodontics and Dentofacial Orthopedics, Dental School/Medical Faculty, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

出版信息

Eur J Oral Sci. 2021 Dec;129(6):e12827. doi: 10.1111/eos.12827. Epub 2021 Dec 5.

Abstract

This focus article aims to highlight the value of reporting prediction intervals (PIs) in random effects meta-analysis and to assess the prevalence of PI-reporting in periodontology and implant dentistry meta-analyses. We searched in the PubMed database for meta-analyses published in the fields of periodontology and implant dentistry. We selected meta-analyses related to primary outcomes with at least three trials. Additionally, we extracted information on the type of the meta-analysis model (fixed or random) and whether the random effects meta-analyses included PIs in addition to the 95% confidence intervals. Three-hundred and forty-nine meta-analyses were found in 94 systematic reviews. Two-hundred and sixty-three (75.4%) subgroup and full meta-analyses used the random-effects model, 81 (23.2%) used fixed-effect methods, and 5 (1.4%) did not specify the model used. In 75 systematic reviews, we found 231 meta-analyses with three or more trials (173 full meta-analyses and 58 subgroup meta-analyses). Only one systematic review reported PIs. Interpretation of the results of random effects meta-analyses which ignore heterogeneity can be misleading. Heterogeneity should be explored, and two common approaches include subgroup analyses and meta-regression. Random effects meta-analyses should include PIs because they convey the extent of heterogeneity in treatment effects across studies in a clinically relevant context.

摘要

本焦点文章旨在强调在随机效应荟萃分析中报告预测区间(PI)的价值,并评估牙周病学和种植牙科学荟萃分析中报告PI的普遍性。我们在PubMed数据库中搜索了牙周病学和种植牙科学领域发表的荟萃分析。我们选择了与至少三项试验的主要结局相关的荟萃分析。此外,我们提取了关于荟萃分析模型类型(固定或随机)的信息,以及随机效应荟萃分析除95%置信区间外是否包括PI。在94项系统评价中发现了349项荟萃分析。263项(75.4%)亚组和完整荟萃分析使用随机效应模型,81项(23.2%)使用固定效应方法,5项(1.4%)未指定所使用的模型。在75项系统评价中,我们发现了231项有三项或更多试验的荟萃分析(173项完整荟萃分析和58项亚组荟萃分析)。只有一项系统评价报告了PI。忽略异质性的随机效应荟萃分析结果的解释可能会产生误导。应探索异质性,两种常见方法包括亚组分析和荟萃回归。随机效应荟萃分析应包括PI,因为它们在临床相关背景下传达了各研究间治疗效果异质性的程度。

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