迷失在衰退中：西班牙的青年就业与收入

Lost in recessions: youth employment and earnings in Spain.

作者信息

Bentolila Samuel, Felgueroso Florentino, Jansen Marcel, Jimeno Juan F

机构信息

CEMFI, Madrid, Spain.

Fedea, Madrid, Spain.

出版信息

SERIEs (Berl). 2022;13(1-2):11-49. doi: 10.1007/s13209-021-00244-6. Epub 2021 Nov 26.

DOI:10.1007/s13209-021-00244-6

PMID:34868384

原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8625678/

Abstract

UNLABELLED

Young workers in Spain face the unprecedented impact of the Great Recession and the COVID-19 crisis in short sequence. Moreover, they have also experienced a deterioration in their employment and earnings over the last three decades. In this paper, we document this evolution and adopt a longitudinal approach to show that employment and earnings losses suffered by young workers during recessions are not made up in the subsequent expansions. We also estimate the size of the scarring effects of entering the job market in a recession for college-educated workers during their first decade in the labor market. Our empirical estimates indicate that while there is some evidence of scarring effects, the driving force is a trend worsening of youth labor market outcomes.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13209-021-00244-6.

摘要

未标注

西班牙的年轻工人在短时间内面临了大衰退和新冠疫情危机带来的前所未有的影响。此外，在过去三十年里，他们的就业和收入状况也有所恶化。在本文中，我们记录了这一演变过程，并采用纵向研究方法表明，年轻工人在衰退期间遭受的就业和收入损失在随后的经济扩张中并未得到弥补。我们还估计了受过大学教育的工人在劳动力市场的头十年中，在衰退时期进入就业市场所产生的疤痕效应的大小。我们的实证估计表明，虽然有一些疤痕效应的证据，但驱动因素是青年劳动力市场结果的趋势性恶化。