No so HoT - heads or tails is not able to reliably compare multiple sequence alignments.

Most phylogenetic-tree building applications use multiple sequence alignments as a starting point. A recent meta-level methodology, called Heads or Tails, aims to reveal the quality of multiple sequence alignments by comparing alignments taken in the forward direction with the alignments of the same sequences when the sequences are reversed. Through an examination of a special case for multiple sequence alignment - pair-wise alignments, where an optimal algorithm exists - and the use of a modified global-alignment application, it is shown that the forward and reverse alignments, even when they are the same, do not capture all the possible variations in the alignments and when the forward and reverse alignments differ there may be other alignments that remain unaccounted for. The implication is that comparing just the forward and (biologically irrelevant) reverse alignments is not sufficient to capture the variability in multiple sequence alignments, and the Heads or Tails methodology is therefore not suitable as a method for investigating multiple sequence alignment accuracy. Part of the reason is the inability of individual multiple sequence alignment applications to adequately sample the space of possible alignments. A further implication is that the Hall [Hall, B.G., 2008. Mol. Biol. Evol. 25, 1576-1580] methodology may create optimal synthetic multiple sequence alignments that extant aligners will be unable to completely recover ab initio due to alternative alignments being possible at particular sites. In general, it is shown that more divergent sequences will give rise to an increased number of alternative alignments, so sequence sets with a higher degree of similarity are preferable to sets with lower similarity as the starting point for phylogenetic tree building.  © The Willi Hennig Society 2009.