Department of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, University of the Basque Country, Plaza Ingeniero Torres Quevedo 1, 48013, Bilbao, Basque Country, Spain.
Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement, CNRS, UPS, Toulouse INPT, Université de Toulouse, Campus ENSAT, Avenue de l'Agrobiopole, 31326, Castanet Tolosan Cedex, France.
Sci Rep. 2021 Dec 8;11(1):23588. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-02891-y.
This study simulates carbon dioxide (CO) sequestration in 300 major world river basins (about 70% of global surface area) through carbonates dissolution and silicate hydrolysis. For each river basin, the daily timescale impacts under the RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5 climate scenarios were assessed relative to a historical baseline (1969-1999) using a cascade of models accounting for the hydrological evolution under climate change scenarios. Here we show that the global temporal evolution of the CO uptake presents a general increase in the annual amount of CO consumed from 0.247 ± 0.045 Pg C year to 0.261 and 0.273 ± 0.054 Pg C year, respectively for RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5. Despite showing a general increase in the global daily carbon sequestration, both climate scenarios show a decrease between June and August. Such projected changes have been mapped and evaluated against changes in hydrology, identifying hot spots and moments for the annual and seasonal periods.
本研究通过碳酸盐溶解和硅酸盐水解模拟了全球 300 条主要流域(约占全球地表面积的 70%)中的二氧化碳(CO)封存。对于每个流域,使用一系列模型来评估相对于历史基线(1969-1999 年)的 RCP 2.6 和 RCP 8.5 气候情景下的每日时间尺度影响,这些模型考虑了气候变化情景下的水文演变。结果表明,CO 吸收的全球时间演变呈现出 CO 消耗年总量的普遍增加,分别从 0.247±0.045PgC 年增加到 0.261 和 0.273±0.054PgC 年,这分别对应于 RCP 2.6 和 RCP 8.5。尽管全球每日碳封存量普遍增加,但两种气候情景都显示出 6 月至 8 月之间的下降。这些预测的变化已经被映射并与水文学变化进行了对比,确定了年度和季节性周期的热点和时刻。