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印度一家多专科三级保健中心 COVID-19 后毛霉菌病的累积死亡率及相关预后因素。

Cumulative Mortality and Factors Associated With Outcomes of Mucormycosis After COVID-19 at a Multispecialty Tertiary Care Center in India.

机构信息

Department of Ophthalmology, Topiwala National Medical College, BYL Nair Charitable Hospital, Mumbai Central, Mumbai, India.

出版信息

JAMA Ophthalmol. 2022 Jan 1;140(1):66-72. doi: 10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2021.5201.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

An outbreak of COVID-19-associated rhino-orbitocerebral mucormycosis (CAM) has occurred in many parts of the world. Although the clinical profile and risk factors for CAM have been studied, cumulative mortality and its risk factors have not.

OBJECTIVE

To report the cumulative mortality rates at different times in cases with CAM and identify risk factors for CAM-associated mortality.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective case-control study was conducted from March 1 to May 30, 2021, in a tertiary care multispecialty hospital in western India. All patients diagnosed with CAM and with a minimum follow-up of 30 days or those who died before 30 days due to CAM were included.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURE

Cumulative mortality in CAM using survival analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 73 consecutive patients with CAM with a mean (SD) age of 53.5 (12.5) years were included in the analysis, of whom 48 (66%) were men. CAM developed at a median of 28 (IQR, 15-45; range, 4-90) days after recovery from COVID-19. Of the 73 patients with CAM, 26 (36%) died; the cumulative probability of death was 26% (95% CI, 16%-41%) at day 7 and doubled to 53% (95% CI, 39%-69%) at day 21. Sinus debridement was performed in 18 of 51 patients (35%), and 5 of 52 (10%) underwent exenteration, whereas intravenous lyophilized amphotericin B was administered to 48 patients (66%). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that receiving mechanical ventilation in the past was associated with a nearly 9-fold increased risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 8.98; 95% CI, 2.13-38.65; P = .003), and patients who had visual acuity of light perception or better had a 46% lower risk of death (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.32-0.98; P = .04). Intravenous amphotericin B administration was associated with a reduced rate of exenteration (0 vs 5 of 25 [20%]; P < .001). On multivariate analysis, those who received intravenous amphotericin B had a 69% reduced risk of death (HR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.06-1.43; P = .13).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that the mortality rate after rhino-orbitocerebral mucormycosis is high and that a subgroup of patients with severe COVID-19 or presenting with severe orbital disease are more likely to die within 10 days of admission.

摘要

重要性

COVID-19 相关的鼻眶脑毛霉菌病(CAM)爆发已经在世界许多地方发生。尽管已经研究了 CAM 的临床特征和危险因素,但尚未报告累积死亡率及其危险因素。

目的

报告 CAM 病例不同时间的累积死亡率,并确定 CAM 相关死亡率的危险因素。

设计、地点和参与者:这是一项回顾性病例对照研究,于 2021 年 3 月 1 日至 5 月 30 日在印度西部的一家三级保健多专科医院进行。纳入了所有确诊为 CAM 且随访时间至少 30 天或因 CAM 在 30 天内死亡的患者。

主要结局和测量

使用生存分析评估 CAM 的累积死亡率。

结果

共纳入 73 例连续确诊的 CAM 患者,平均(SD)年龄为 53.5(12.5)岁,其中 48 例(66%)为男性。CAM 在 COVID-19 康复后中位时间 28(IQR,15-45;范围,4-90)天发生。73 例 CAM 患者中,26 例(36%)死亡;第 7 天的累积死亡率为 26%(95%CI,16%-41%),第 21 天翻了一番,达到 53%(95%CI,39%-69%)。51 例患者中有 18 例(35%)接受了鼻窦清创术,52 例患者中有 5 例(10%)接受了眶内容物切除术,而 48 例(66%)患者接受了静脉注射冻干两性霉素 B。多变量 Cox 比例风险回归分析显示,既往使用机械通气与死亡风险增加近 9 倍相关(危险比[HR],8.98;95%CI,2.13-38.65;P=0.003),视力为光感或更好的患者死亡风险降低 46%(HR,0.56;95%CI,0.32-0.98;P=0.04)。静脉注射两性霉素 B 与降低眶内容物切除术的发生率有关(0 例比 25 例中的 5 例[20%];P<0.001)。多变量分析显示,接受静脉注射两性霉素 B 的患者死亡风险降低 69%(HR,0.31;95%CI,0.06-1.43;P=0.13)。

结论和相关性

这些发现表明,鼻眶脑毛霉菌病后的死亡率较高,并且 COVID-19 严重或表现出严重眼眶疾病的亚组患者在入院后 10 天内更有可能死亡。

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