Bhowmik Roni, Zhu Yuhua, Gao Kuo
School of Business, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou, China.
Department of Business Administration, Daffodil International University, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
PLoS One. 2021 Dec 22;16(12):e0261270. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261270. eCollection 2021.
China-ASEAN are the two huge markets in trade world, they can bring out greater dynamism from within their economies and contribute to regional economic development. This study explores the present situation on the trade between the Central region of China and ASEAN through empirical assessment and try to find the potential effects and trade flows between them. Firstly, we analysis the trade integration index, HM index, explicit comparative advantage index, and trade complementarity index. Finally, we use the gravity model of international trade and data on 2006-2018. The bilateral trade relations between the central region and ASEAN are getting closer, but the central region has not yet become the major trade area of ASEAN countries in the Chinese market. The bilateral economic development level plays a positive role in promoting the export trade between the Central region and ASEAN, while the bilateral distance plays a negative role in difficulty. The empirical results show that trade potential between the Central region and Indonesia and the Philippines is huge, and there is still opportunity for the development of the trade potential with Thailand. The trade prospective with Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam is limited, and new approaches need to be developed to achieve further trade cooperation.
中国-东盟是贸易世界中的两大巨大市场，它们能够从各自经济体内部释放出更大活力，并为区域经济发展做出贡献。本研究通过实证评估探讨中国中部地区与东盟之间的贸易现状，并试图找出它们之间的潜在影响和贸易流动情况。首先，我们分析了贸易一体化指数、HM指数、显性比较优势指数和贸易互补性指数。最后，我们使用国际贸易引力模型以及2006年至2018年的数据。中部地区与东盟之间的双边贸易关系日益密切，但中部地区尚未成为东盟国家在中国市场的主要贸易地区。双边经济发展水平对促进中部地区与东盟之间的出口贸易起到积极作用，而双边距离则在阻碍方面起到消极作用。实证结果表明，中部地区与印度尼西亚和菲律宾之间的贸易潜力巨大，与泰国发展贸易潜力仍有机会。与马来西亚、新加坡和越南的贸易前景有限，需要开拓新途径以实现进一步的贸易合作。
