Regional Health and Social Care Agency, Emilia-Romagna Region, 40127 Bologna, Italy.
Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42122 Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Dec 15;18(24):13224. doi: 10.3390/ijerph182413224.
In 2020, the number of deaths increased in Italy, mainly because of the COVID-19 pandemic; mortality was among the highest in Europe, with a clear heterogeneity among regions and socio-demographic strata. The present work aims to describe trends in mortality and to quantify excess mortality variability over time and in relation to demographics, pre-existent chronic conditions and care setting of the Emilia-Romagna region (Northern Italy). This is a registry-based cross-sectional study comparing the 2020 observed mortality with figures of the previous five years by age, sex, month, place of death, and chronicity. It includes 300,094 deaths in those 18 years of age and above resident in the Emilia-Romagna region. Excess deaths were higher during the first pandemic wave, particularly among men and in March. Age-adjusted risk was similar among both men and women (Mortality Rate Ratio 1.15; IC95% 1.14-1.16). It was higher among females aged 75+ years and varied between sub-periods. Excluding COVID-19 related deaths, differences in the risk of dying estimates tended to disappear. Metabolic and neuropsychiatric diseases were more prevalent among those that deceased in 2020 compared to the deaths that occurred in 2015-2019 and therefore can be confirmed as elements of increased frailty, such as being in long-term care facilities or private homes as the place of death. Understanding the impact of the pandemic on mortality considering frailties is relevant in a changing scenario.
2020 年,意大利的死亡人数增加,主要是由于 COVID-19 大流行;意大利的死亡率在欧洲属于最高之列,各地区和社会人口阶层之间存在明显差异。本研究旨在描述死亡率趋势,并定量分析随时间推移和人口统计学、预先存在的慢性疾病以及艾米利亚-罗马涅地区(意大利北部)的护理环境变化而导致的超额死亡率变化。这是一项基于登记的横断面研究,通过年龄、性别、月份、死亡地点和慢性程度比较了 2020 年观察到的死亡率与前五年的数据。研究共纳入了年龄在 18 岁及以上、居住在艾米利亚-罗马涅地区的 300094 例死亡病例。在第一次大流行浪潮期间,超额死亡人数较高,尤其是男性和 3 月份。调整年龄后的风险在男性和女性中相似(死亡率比值 1.15;95%置信区间 1.14-1.16)。75 岁以上女性的风险更高,且在各亚期间存在差异。不包括与 COVID-19 相关的死亡病例,2020 年死亡风险的估计差异趋于消失。与 2015-2019 年的死亡病例相比,2020 年死亡病例中代谢和神经精神疾病更为常见,因此可以确认这些疾病是导致脆弱性增加的因素,如长期护理机构或私人住宅等死亡地点。在不断变化的背景下,考虑脆弱性对死亡率的影响对于了解大流行的影响至关重要。