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疑似非ST段抬高型急性冠状动脉综合征胸痛风险评分的开发与验证

Development and validation of a risk score for chest pain with suspected non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome.

作者信息

Ma Chun-Peng, Liu Xiao-Li, Feng Jian-Shuang, Dong Xue-Fei

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, The First Hospital of Qinhuangdao, Hebei Province, China.

Department of Endocrinology, The First Hospital of Qinhuangdao, Hebei Province, China.

出版信息

Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol. 2022 May;27(3):e12929. doi: 10.1111/anec.12929. Epub 2021 Dec 29.

DOI:10.1111/anec.12929
PMID:34964535
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9107085/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To investigate a new risk score for acute chest pain with suspected non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).

METHODS

Patients who suffered from Chest pain and suspected NSTE-ACS were enrolled as subjects. Predictor variables had been analyzed, and a bootstrap technique was used to evaluate the internal validity of the model, and external validation had been assessed for a prospective cohort study.

RESULTS

Thousand five hundred and sixty-eight patients had been included in this study. Six predictor variables were found to be significant and were used to develop the model. The C-statistic of the model was 0.83, and internal validation revealed the stability of the model and the absence of over-optimism. Patients were given different triage recommendations, and the risk score was prospectively validated.

CONCLUSIONS

A risk score may be a suitable method for assessing the risk of major adverse cardiac events and aiding patient triage in emergency departments among patients with suspected NSTE-ACS.

摘要

目的

研究一种用于疑似非ST段抬高型急性冠状动脉综合征(NSTE-ACS)急性胸痛的新风险评分。

方法

纳入胸痛且疑似NSTE-ACS的患者作为研究对象。对预测变量进行分析,并采用自助法评估模型的内部效度,通过前瞻性队列研究进行外部验证。

结果

本研究共纳入1568例患者。发现6个预测变量具有显著性,并用于构建模型。该模型的C统计量为0.83,内部验证显示模型具有稳定性且不存在过度乐观的情况。给予患者不同的分诊建议,并对风险评分进行前瞻性验证。

结论

风险评分可能是评估疑似NSTE-ACS患者主要不良心脏事件风险及辅助急诊科患者分诊的合适方法。

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本文引用的文献

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HEART Score in Predicting One-Month Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Patients with Acute Chest Pain; a Diagnostic Accuracy Study.HEART评分对急性胸痛患者1个月内心脏主要不良事件的预测价值;一项诊断准确性研究。
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BMJ Open. 2019 Oct 28;9(10):e032834. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032834.
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Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care. 2020 Feb;9(1):30-38. doi: 10.1177/2048872619883619. Epub 2019 Oct 28.
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Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction (2018).心肌梗死的第四次全球定义(2018年)。
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Predictive Value of Endocan Based on TIMI Risk Score on Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events After Acute Coronary Syndrome.基于 TIMI 风险评分的内脂素对急性冠状动脉综合征后主要不良心血管事件的预测价值。
Angiology. 2019 Nov;70(10):952-959. doi: 10.1177/0003319718815241. Epub 2018 Dec 4.
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2017 ESC Guidelines for the management of acute myocardial infarction in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation: The Task Force for the management of acute myocardial infarction in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC).2017年欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)ST段抬高型急性心肌梗死患者管理指南:欧洲心脏病学会(ESC)ST段抬高型急性心肌梗死患者管理工作组
Eur Heart J. 2018 Jan 7;39(2):119-177. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx393.
9
2014 AHA/ACC Guideline for the Management of Patients with Non-ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes: a report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines.2014年美国心脏协会/美国心脏病学会非ST段抬高型急性冠状动脉综合征患者管理指南:美国心脏病学会/美国心脏协会实践指南工作组报告
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014 Dec 23;64(24):e139-e228. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2014.09.017. Epub 2014 Sep 23.
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The Manchester Acute Coronary Syndromes (MACS) decision rule for suspected cardiac chest pain: derivation and external validation.曼彻斯特急性冠状动脉综合征 (MACS) 决策规则用于疑似心前区疼痛:推导和外部验证。
Heart. 2014 Sep 15;100(18):1462-8. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2014-305564. Epub 2014 Apr 29.