时代在变,偏见却没变:工业/组织心理学中发表偏倚检测实践、流行率和预测因子的元元分析。
Times are changing, bias isn't: A meta-meta-analysis on publication bias detection practices, prevalence rates, and predictors in industrial/organizational psychology.
机构信息
Department of Developmental and Educational Psychology, University of Vienna.
Department of Methodology and Statistics, Tilburg University.
出版信息
J Appl Psychol. 2022 Nov;107(11):2013-2039. doi: 10.1037/apl0000991. Epub 2021 Dec 30.
Effect misestimations plague Psychological Science, but advances in the identification of dissemination biases in general and publication bias in particular have helped in dealing with biased effects in the literature. However, the application of publication bias detection methods appears to be not equally prevalent across subdisciplines. It has been suggested that particularly in I/O Psychology, appropriate publication bias detection methods are underused. In this meta-meta-analysis, we present prevalence estimates, predictors, and time trends of publication bias in 128 meta-analyses that were published in the (7,263 effect sizes, 3,000,000 + participants). Moreover, we reanalyzed data of 87 meta-analyses and applied nine standard and more modern publication bias detection methods. We show that (a) the bias detection method applications are underused (only 41% of meta-analyses use at least one method) but have increased in recent years, (b) those meta-analyses that apply such methods now use more, but mostly inappropriate methods, and (c) the prevalence of potential publication bias is concerning but mostly remains undetected. Although our results indicate somewhat of a trend toward higher bias awareness, they substantiate concerns about potential publication bias in I/O Psychology, warranting increased researcher awareness about appropriate and state-of-the-art bias detection and triangulation. Embracing open science practices such as data sharing or study preregistration is needed to raise reproducibility and ultimately strengthen Psychological Science in general and I/O Psychology in particular. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).
效果估计偏误困扰着心理科学,但在识别传播偏差,特别是出版偏差方面的进展,有助于处理文献中存在的有偏效果。然而,出版偏差检测方法的应用似乎在不同的子学科中并不普遍。有人认为,特别是在工业与组织心理学中,适当的出版偏差检测方法未得到充分利用。在这项元分析元研究中,我们报告了在《心理科学》杂志上发表的 128 项荟萃分析中的出版偏差的流行率估计值、预测因素和时间趋势(7263 个效应量,300 万+参与者)。此外,我们重新分析了 87 项荟萃分析的数据,并应用了 9 种标准和更现代的出版偏差检测方法。我们表明:(a) 偏差检测方法的应用不足(只有 41%的荟萃分析使用至少一种方法),但近年来有所增加;(b) 现在应用这些方法的荟萃分析使用了更多但大多不适当的方法;(c) 潜在出版偏差的流行率令人担忧,但大多仍未被发现。虽然我们的结果表明,在提高偏差意识方面有一定的趋势,但它们证实了人们对工业与组织心理学中潜在出版偏差的担忧,需要提高研究人员对适当和最新的偏差检测和三角测量的认识。需要采用开放科学实践,如数据共享或研究预注册,以提高可重复性,并最终加强整个心理科学,特别是工业与组织心理学。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2022 APA,保留所有权利)。