Wang Dashuai, Le Sheng, Luo Jingjing, Chen Xing, Li Rui, Wu Jia, Song Yu, Xie Fei, Li Ximei, Wang Hongfei, Huang Xiaofan, Ye Ping, Du Xinling, Zhang Anchen
Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Key Laboratory for Molecular Diagnosis of Hubei Province, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Front Cardiovasc Med. 2021 Dec 23;8:781137. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2021.781137. eCollection 2021.
Postoperative headache (POH) is common in clinical practice, however, no studies about POH after Stanford type A acute aortic dissection surgery (AADS) exist. This study aims to describe the incidence, risk factors and outcomes of POH after AADS, and to construct two prediction models. Adults who underwent AADS from 2016 to 2020 in four tertiary hospitals were enrolled. Training and validation sets were randomly assigned according to a 7:3 ratio. Risk factors were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Nomograms were constructed and validated on the basis of independent predictors. POH developed in 380 of the 1,476 included patients (25.7%). Poorer outcomes were observed in patients with POH. Eight independent predictors for POH after AADS were identified when both preoperative and intraoperative variables were analyzed, including younger age, female sex, smoking history, chronic headache history, cerebrovascular disease, use of deep hypothermic circulatory arrest, more blood transfusion, and longer cardiopulmonary bypass time. White blood cell and platelet count were also identified as significant predictors when intraoperative variables were excluded from the multivariate analysis. A full nomogram and a preoperative nomogram were constructed based on these independent predictors, both demonstrating good discrimination, calibration, clinical usefulness, and were well validated. Risk stratification was performed and three risk intervals were defined based on the full nomogram and clinical practice. POH was common after AADS, portending poorer outcomes. Two nomograms predicting POH were developed and validated, which may have clinical utility in risk evaluation, early prevention, and doctor-patient communication.
术后头痛(POH)在临床实践中很常见,然而,目前尚无关于斯坦福A型急性主动脉夹层手术(AADS)后POH的研究。本研究旨在描述AADS后POH的发生率、危险因素和结局,并构建两个预测模型。纳入了2016年至2020年在四家三级医院接受AADS手术的成年人。训练集和验证集按7:3的比例随机分配。通过单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析确定危险因素。根据独立预测因素构建并验证列线图。在纳入的1476例患者中,有380例(25.7%)发生了POH。POH患者的结局较差。在分析术前和术中变量时,确定了AADS后POH的8个独立预测因素,包括年龄较小、女性、吸烟史、慢性头痛史、脑血管疾病、使用深低温停循环、更多的输血以及更长的体外循环时间。当多因素分析排除术中变量时,白细胞和血小板计数也被确定为显著的预测因素。基于这些独立预测因素构建了一个完整的列线图和一个术前列线图,两者均显示出良好的区分度、校准度、临床实用性,并得到了充分验证。进行了风险分层,并根据完整的列线图和临床实践定义了三个风险区间。AADS后POH很常见,预示着结局较差。开发并验证了两个预测POH的列线图,它们可能在风险评估、早期预防和医患沟通方面具有临床应用价值。