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一朝被蛇咬,十年怕井绳?早年的悲剧与央行行长对新冠疫情的反应。

Once bitten, twice bold? Early life tragedy and central bankers' reaction to COVID-19.

作者信息

Aslam Maqsood, Farvaque Etienne

机构信息

Univ. Lille, CNRS, IESEG School of Management, UMR 9221 - LEM - Lille Économie Management, F-59000 Lille, France.

Univ. Lille, CNRS, IESEG School of Management, UMR 9221 - LEM - Lille Économie Management, F-59000 Lille, France, and CIRANO (Montréal, Québec, Canada).

出版信息

Financ Res Lett. 2022 Jan;44:102060. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102060. Epub 2021 Apr 20.

Abstract

Have negative experiences (in particular, natural disasters) that central bankers' have known in their early life influenced monetary policy decisions in front of the COVID-19 pandemic? We answer this question using a sample of 19 developing countries. We show that central bankers who experienced episodes of epidemics in their early life lowered interest rates faster and lower during the COVID-19 pandemic. Personal experience of decision-makers has contributed strongly to explain their behavior during the crisis.

摘要

央行行长早年经历的负面事件(特别是自然灾害)是否会影响他们在新冠疫情之前做出的货币政策决策?我们以19个发展中国家为样本回答了这个问题。我们发现,早年经历过疫情的央行行长在新冠疫情期间更快、更大幅度地降低了利率。决策者的个人经历有力地解释了他们在危机期间的行为。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2788/8734203/d707157ca326/gr1_lrg.jpg

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