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中国长江经济带城市韧性效率的时空特征及影响因素。

Spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of urban resilience efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China.

机构信息

School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, China.

Department of Geography, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jun;29(26):39807-39826. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-18235-2. Epub 2022 Feb 3.

Abstract

Urban resilience efficiency is an important indicator to explore the relationship between resource consumption and urban resilience, shedding new light on the study of urban sustainable development. Based on the panel data of 2008, 2012, and 2017, this paper makes a spatiotemporal assessment on the urban resilience efficiency of 126 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) in China by applying an entropy weight-TOPSIS method and a slack-based measure (SBM) model. Combined with the analysis of a geographically weighted regression model (GWR), the influencing factors on resilience efficiency are also investigated. The results show that both the resource consumption index (RC, inputs) and the urban resilience index (UR, outputs) presented a steady upward trend, and their spatial distribution characteristics were similar, showing a gradual decrease from the eastern coastal cities to the central and western inland cities. Derived from inputs and outputs, the mean values of resilience efficiency index (RE) in three periods were 0.3149, 0.2906, and 0.1625, respectively, revealing that there had been a noticeable decline. Spatially, its spatial distribution has evolved from a relatively balanced pattern to an unbalanced one, showing a gradual decrease from west to east. The results of the GWR model analysis indicate that the total electricity consumption and area of construction land had a considerable correlation with the overall urban resilience of the YREB. Furthermore, total quantity of water supply and science and technology (S&T) expenditure continued to be the main driving factors on urban resilience of the upstream cities. The midstream regions mainly depended on the scale of construction land, and the influencing factors are relatively single. The influencing factors in the downstream areas have changed from dominance of resources and capital factors to the single dominance of resource factors, and total electricity consumption had a strong explanatory power. Based on these findings, we had put forward the overall and local regional policy implications.

摘要

城市韧性效率是探索资源消耗与城市韧性之间关系的重要指标,为城市可持续发展研究提供了新视角。本文基于熵权-TOPSIS 方法和基于松弛的 SBM 模型,利用 2008、2012 和 2017 年的面板数据,对中国长江经济带(YREB)126 个城市的城市韧性效率进行了时空评估。结合地理加权回归模型(GWR)的分析,探讨了影响韧性效率的因素。结果表明,资源消耗指数(RC,投入)和城市韧性指数(UR,产出)均呈稳步上升趋势,其空间分布特征相似,呈现出从东部沿海城市向中部和西部内陆城市逐渐降低的趋势。从投入和产出两个方面来看,三个时期的韧性效率指数(RE)均值分别为 0.3149、0.2906 和 0.1625,表明存在明显下降。空间上,其空间分布由相对均衡模式演变为非均衡模式,呈现出从西向东逐渐降低的趋势。GWR 模型分析结果表明,总用电量和建设用地面积与长江经济带的整体城市韧性具有相当大的相关性。此外,供水量总量和科技(S&T)支出一直是上游城市城市韧性的主要驱动因素。中游地区主要依赖建设用地规模,影响因素较为单一。下游地区的影响因素已从资源和资本因素的主导地位转变为单一的资源因素主导地位,总用电量具有较强的解释力。基于这些发现,我们提出了总体和局部区域的政策建议。

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