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骨恶性纤维组织细胞瘤的临床特征及预后因素:一项基于监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库人群的研究

Clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of malignant fibrous histiocytoma of bone: a SEER population-based study.

作者信息

Qi Lin, Tu Chao, Ren Xiaolei, Chen Ruiqi, Wan Lu, Zhang Chenghao, Li Zhihong

机构信息

Department of Orthopedics, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011, China.

Hunan Key Laboratory of Tumor Models and Individualized Medicine, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011, China.

出版信息

Transl Cancer Res. 2020 Mar;9(3):1604-1617. doi: 10.21037/tcr.2020.01.56.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Malignant fibrous histiocytoma of bone (MFH-B) is an extremely rare type of bone tumor. We aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics of MFH-B and establish nomograms that predict the prognosis of patients with MFH-B based on prognostic factors.

METHODS

A total of 250 patients diagnosed with MFH-B were included from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were conducted. Potential prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Nomograms that predict 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were further developed and internally validated.

RESULTS

The multivariate analysis suggested that OS of patients was associated with age ≥57 years [hazard ratio (HR), 1.916; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.329-2.761; P<0.001], pelvic bones (HR, 1.742; 95% CI, 1.024-2.961; P=0.040) and other tumor sites (HR, 2.498; 95% CI, 1.515-4.120; P<0.001), Grade III/IV (HR, 1.750; 95% CI, 1.002-3.056; P=0.049), distant tumor stage (HR, 2.100; 95% CI, 1.351-3.263; P=0.001), tumor size ≥66 mm (HR, 2.629; 95% CI, 1.747-3.959; P<0.001) and no surgery (HR, 2.134; 95% CI, 1.380-3.300; P=0.001). We then developed nomograms based on the prognostic factors. The concordance index (C-index) of nomograms for OS and CSS were 0.74 (95% CI, 0.70-0.77) and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.70-0.78). Calibration plots suggested optimal concordance between the predictive outcomes of nomograms with the actual survival.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first sizable study that analyzed clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of MFH-B. The nomograms we established for MFH-B were effective tools to predict prognosis of individual patients. These tools can also help doctors identify mortality risk.

摘要

背景

骨恶性纤维组织细胞瘤(MFH-B)是一种极其罕见的骨肿瘤类型。我们旨在分析MFH-B的临床特征,并基于预后因素建立预测MFH-B患者预后的列线图。

方法

从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中纳入了总共250例诊断为MFH-B的患者。进行了Kaplan-Meier曲线和对数秩检验。使用单因素和多因素Cox回归分析确定潜在的预后因素。进一步开发并内部验证了预测3年和5年总生存期(OS)及癌症特异性生存期(CSS)的列线图。

结果

多因素分析表明,患者的OS与年龄≥57岁[风险比(HR),1.916;95%置信区间(CI),1.329 - 2.761;P<0.001]、骨盆骨(HR,1.742;95%CI,1.024 - 2.961;P = 0.040)和其他肿瘤部位(HR,2.498;95%CI,1.515 - 4.120;P<0.001)、Ⅲ/Ⅳ级(HR,1.750;95%CI,1.002 - 3.056;P = 0.049)、远处肿瘤分期(HR,2.100;95%CI,1.351 - 3.263;P = 0.001)、肿瘤大小≥66 mm(HR,2.629;95%CI,1.747 - 3.959;P<0.001)以及未进行手术(HR,2.134;95%CI,1.380 - 3.300;P = 0.001)相关。然后我们基于预后因素开发了列线图。OS和CSS列线图的一致性指数(C指数)分别为0.74(95%CI,0.70 - 0.77)和0.74(95%CI,0.70 - 0.78)。校准图表明列线图的预测结果与实际生存期之间具有最佳一致性。

结论

这是第一项分析MFH-B临床特征和预后因素的大规模研究。我们为MFH-B建立的列线图是预测个体患者预后的有效工具。这些工具还可以帮助医生识别死亡风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a98f/8798887/5d3e1566805f/tcr-09-03-1604-f1.jpg

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