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观察者会惩罚那些风险偏好不受得失框架影响的决策者。

Observers penalize decision makers whose risk preferences are unaffected by loss-gain framing.

作者信息

Dorison Charles A, Heller Blake H

机构信息

Department of Management and Organizations.

Harvard Graduate School of Education.

出版信息

J Exp Psychol Gen. 2022 Sep;151(9):2043-2059. doi: 10.1037/xge0001187. Epub 2022 Feb 10.

DOI:10.1037/xge0001187
PMID:35143249
Abstract

A large interdisciplinary body of research on human judgment and decision making documents systematic deviations between prescriptive decision models (i.e., how individuals behave) and descriptive decision models (i.e., how individuals behave). One canonical example is the loss-gain framing effect on risk preferences: the robust tendency for risk preferences to shift depending on whether outcomes are described as losses or gains. Traditionally, researchers argue that decision makers should always be immune to loss-gain framing effects. We present three preregistered experiments ( = 1,954) that qualify this prescription. We predict and find that while third-party observers penalize decision makers who make risk-averse (vs. risk-seeking) choices when choice outcomes are framed as losses, this result reverses when outcomes are framed as gains. This reversal holds across five social perceptions, three decision contexts, two sample populations of United States adults, and with financial stakes. This pattern is driven by the fact that observers themselves fall victim to framing effects and socially derogate (and financially punish) decision makers who disagree. Given that individuals often care deeply about their reputation, our results challenge the long-standing prescription that they should always be immune to framing effects. The results extend understanding not only for decision making under risk, but also for a range of behavioral tendencies long considered irrational biases. Such understanding may ultimately reveal not only why such biases are so persistent but also novel interventions: our results suggest a necessary focus on social and organizational norms. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

大量关于人类判断与决策的跨学科研究记录了规范性决策模型(即个体应该如何行为)与描述性决策模型(即个体实际如何行为)之间的系统性偏差。一个典型的例子是损失-收益框架效应对风险偏好的影响:风险偏好存在一种强烈的倾向,即根据结果被描述为损失还是收益而发生转变。传统上,研究人员认为决策者应该始终不受损失-收益框架效应的影响。我们进行了三项预先注册的实验(N = 1954),对这一观点进行了修正。我们预测并发现,当选择结果被框定为损失时,第三方观察者会惩罚做出规避风险(相对于寻求风险)选择的决策者,但当结果被框定为收益时,这一结果会反转。这种反转在五种社会认知、三种决策情境、两组美国成年样本群体以及涉及金钱利益的情况下都成立。这种模式是由以下事实驱动的:观察者自身也会受到框架效应的影响,并对持不同意见的决策者进行社会贬低(以及金钱惩罚)。鉴于个体通常非常在意自己的声誉,我们的结果挑战了长期以来认为他们应该始终不受框架效应影响的观点。这些结果不仅扩展了对风险决策的理解,还扩展了对一系列长期以来被视为非理性偏差的行为倾向的理解。这样的理解最终可能不仅揭示了这些偏差为何如此持久,还揭示了新的干预措施:我们的结果表明有必要关注社会和组织规范。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2022美国心理学会,保留所有权利)

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