Rajagopalan R
Am J Perinatol. 1986 Apr;3(2):151-5. doi: 10.1055/s-2007-999856.
A decision analytic model (a decision tree) was constructed for use in the labor room. Probabilities and (dis)utilities were estimated by obstetricians and computerized. A sensitivity analysis on six branches of the decision tree uses estimates of four obstetricians and proves that the decisions resulting from the model are stable and insensitive to differences in probability estimates within reasonable limits. Therefore it is concluded that we can construct a decision tree that is a practical, valuable, and stable tool for consistent decision making.
构建了一个用于产房的决策分析模型（决策树）。概率和（负）效用由产科医生估计并进行计算机处理。对决策树的六个分支进行的敏感性分析采用了四位产科医生的估计值，结果证明该模型得出的决策是稳定的，并且在合理范围内对概率估计的差异不敏感。因此得出结论，我们可以构建一个决策树，它是用于一致决策的实用、有价值且稳定的工具。
