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农业生产力、土地集约化对可持续经济增长的影响:来自孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦经济的面板分析。

The effects of Agriculture Productivity, Land Intensification, on Sustainable Economic Growth: A panel analysis from Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan Economies.

机构信息

Department of Economics, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan.

Department of Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Nov;30(55):116440-116448. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-18471-6. Epub 2022 Feb 15.

Abstract

Population in South Asia is increasing ever than a faster rate, subsequently; food security, climate change, and capital intensive agro farming techniques are the prevailing challenges in this region. This is a tri-country penal analysis, Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh, and the study covers the data throughout (1973-2020). This study has used modern farm input data besides demographic variables in the study. In this study, we use panel data set, ARDL (PMG) approach, autoregressive distributed lag model pooled mean group, which is an extensively dynamic modeling technique for heterogeneous data. The results of the study explore that transition in the demographic pattern in Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh is the real cause of low crop productivity and land intensification. Technology innovation is the only ray of hope to fulfill the food demand of the future ahead and climate agriculture practices can hamper the further deterioration of the small farmlands.

摘要

南亚的人口增长速度比以往任何时候都要快,因此,粮食安全、气候变化和资本密集型农业技术是该地区目前面临的主要挑战。本研究是对巴基斯坦、印度和孟加拉国这三个国家进行的分析,研究涵盖了(1973 年至 2020 年)的数据。除了人口变量外,本研究还使用了现代农场投入数据。在本研究中,我们使用面板数据集、ARDL(PMG)方法、自回归分布滞后模型平均组,这是一种广泛应用于异质数据的动态建模技术。研究结果表明,巴基斯坦、印度和孟加拉国人口结构的转变是导致作物生产力低下和土地集约化的根本原因。技术创新是满足未来粮食需求的唯一希望,而气候农业实践可能会进一步恶化小农田。

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