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农业技术是否会影响巴基斯坦的碳排放?基于 ARDL 技术的证据。

Do Agriculture Technologies Influence Carbon Emissions in Pakistan? Evidence based on ARDL technique.

机构信息

1Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS University Islamabad, Vehari Campus, Vehari, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jun;29(28):43361-43370. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-18264-x. Epub 2022 Jan 30.

Abstract

Pakistan is an agrarian country, and the usage of agriculture technologies has increased in this country over the period of time. Extensive use of agriculture technologies may have detrimental impact of environment quality through an increase in carbon dioxide emissions. This study examines the impact of agriculture technologies on carbon emissions in Pakistan by using the annual time series data for the period 1973-2018. For long-run and short-run analysis, autoregressive distributed lag model is applied and the results reveal that cointegration exists among the variables. Long-run results show a significant positive impact of pesticide and economic growth on carbon emission, whereas short-run results confirm the positive effect of economic growth on carbon emissions in Pakistan. This study has important policy implications, such as to increase sustainable economic growth through agriculture sector; there is a need to introduce green technologies that produce less carbon emissions.

摘要

巴基斯坦是一个农业国家,农业技术的使用在该国得到了长期的增长。农业技术的广泛使用可能会通过增加二氧化碳排放对环境质量产生不利影响。本研究通过使用 1973-2018 年的年度时间序列数据,考察了农业技术对巴基斯坦碳排放的影响。对于长期和短期分析,应用了自回归分布滞后模型,结果表明变量之间存在协整关系。长期结果表明,农药和经济增长对碳排放有显著的正向影响,而短期结果则证实了经济增长对巴基斯坦碳排放的正向影响。本研究具有重要的政策意义,例如通过农业部门实现可持续经济增长;需要引入产生较少碳排放的绿色技术。

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