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联合白蛋白-胆红素评分与肝切除比例预测肝切除术后肝衰竭

Prediction of Posthepatectomy Liver Failure with a Combination of Albumin-Bilirubin Score and Liver Resection Percentage.

作者信息

Takahashi Kazuhiro, Gosho Masahiko, Kim Jaejeong, Shimomura Osamu, Miyazaki Yoshihiro, Furuya Kinji, Akashi Yoshimasa, Enomoto Tsuyoshi, Hashimoto Shinji, Oda Tatsuya

机构信息

From the Department of Gastrointestinal and Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery (Takahashi, Kim, Shimomura, Miyazaki, Furuya, Akashi, Enomoto, Hashimoto, Oda), University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan.

the Department of Biostatistics (Gosho), University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan.

出版信息

J Am Coll Surg. 2022 Feb 1;234(2):155-165. doi: 10.1097/XCS.0000000000000027.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a main cause of death after partial hepatectomy. The aim of this study was to develop a practical stratification system using the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and liver resection percentage to predict severe PHLF and conduct safe hepatectomy.

METHODS

Between January 2002 and March 2021, 361 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who underwent partial hepatectomy were enrolled. Medical image analysis software was applied postoperatively to accurately simulate hepatectomy. The liver resection percentage was calculated as follows: (postoperatively reconstructed resected specimen volume [ml] - tumor volume [ml])/total functional liver volume (ml) × 100. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify risk factors for PHLF grade B/C. A heatmap for predicting grade B/C PHLF was generated by combining the ALBI score and liver resection percentage.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine patients developed grade B/C PHLF; 2 of these patients (5.1%) died. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that a high ALBI score and high liver resection percentage were independent predictors of severe PHLF (odds ratio [OR], 8.68, p < 0.001; OR, 1.10, p < 0.001). With a threshold PHLF probability of 50% for the heatmap, hepatectomy was performed for 346 patients meeting our criteria (95.8%) and 325 patients meeting the Makuuchi criteria (90.0%). The positive predictive value and negative predictive value for severe PHLF were 91.6% and 66.7% for our system and 91.7% and 33.3% for the Makuuchi criteria.

CONCLUSION

Our stratification system could increase the number of hepatectomy candidates and is practical for deciding the surgical indications and determining the upper limit of the liver resection percentage corresponding to each patient's liver function reserve, which could prevent PHLF and yield better postoperative outcomes.

摘要

背景

肝切除术后肝衰竭(PHLF)是部分肝切除术后的主要死亡原因。本研究的目的是开发一种实用的分层系统,利用白蛋白-胆红素(ALBI)评分和肝切除百分比来预测严重PHLF并实施安全的肝切除术。

方法

2002年1月至2021年3月,纳入361例行部分肝切除术的肝细胞癌(HCC)患者。术后应用医学图像分析软件精确模拟肝切除术。肝切除百分比计算如下:(术后重建切除标本体积[ml]-肿瘤体积[ml])/总功能性肝体积(ml)×100。进行多因素分析以确定B/C级PHLF的危险因素。通过结合ALBI评分和肝切除百分比生成预测B/C级PHLF的热图。

结果

39例患者发生B/C级PHLF;其中2例患者(5.1%)死亡。多因素分析表明,高ALBI评分和高肝切除百分比是严重PHLF的独立预测因素(比值比[OR],8.68,p<0.001;OR,1.10,p<0.001)。对于热图,以50%的PHLF概率为阈值,对符合我们标准的346例患者(95.8%)和符合幕内标准的325例患者(90.0%)实施了肝切除术。我们的系统对严重PHLF的阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为91.6%和66.7%,幕内标准的分别为91.7%和33.3%。

结论

我们的分层系统可以增加肝切除候选者的数量,对于决定手术指征和确定与每个患者肝功能储备相对应的肝切除百分比上限是实用的,这可以预防PHLF并产生更好的术后结果。

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