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急性肠系膜缺血死亡率的预测因素:一项系统评价与荟萃分析

Predictors of Mortality in Acute Mesenteric Ischemia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

作者信息

Sumbal Ramish, Ali Baig Mirza Mehmood, Sumbal Anusha

机构信息

Dow medical college, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.

Dow medical college, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

J Surg Res. 2022 Jul;275:72-86. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2022.01.022. Epub 2022 Feb 24.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

To highlight predictors of mortality in acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) by conducting a meta-analysis of all relevant published studies.

METHODS

PubMed, Cochrane, and Google Scholar were searched from their inception till October 31, 2021. Studies evaluating predictors of mortality were selected. Only those factors were selected for meta-analysis that was reported by at least four studies. Meta-analysis was performed on selected factors using the random-effects model by using Revman 5.3 software.

RESULTS

Fifty-one studies were included evaluating 10,425 patients of AMI. Studies selected had a low risk of bias (Median = 7). Thirty-three factors were evaluated in our review. Age (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08-1.27), chronic renal disease (OR 2.47, 95% CI 1.37-4.45), patient dependency (OR 3.01, 95% CI 1.95-4.65), arrhythmias (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.38-2.69), cardiac failure (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.57-3.31), hypotension (OR 3.44, 95% CI 1.81-6.54), large bowel involvement (OR 2.98, 95% CI 1.44-6.17), small and large bowel involvement (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.23-2.81), creatinine (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.27-2.20), lactate (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.26-1.62), delay to surgery (OR 2.51, 95% CI 1.58-3.99) and inotropes (OR 3.79, 95% CI 1.47-9.77) were significantly associated with mortality. On the contrary bowel wall thickening (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.38-0.88), anticoagulation (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.10-0.74), and revascularization (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.13-0.69) were significantly associated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, Age, chronic renal disease, diabetes, patient dependency, arrhythmias, cardiac failure, hypotension, large bowel involvement, small & large bowel involvement, creatinine, lactate, delay to surgery, and inotropes were significantly associated with mortality while anticoagulants, revascularization and bowel thickening on CT was associated with decreased mortality.

摘要

引言

通过对所有相关已发表研究进行荟萃分析,以突出急性肠系膜缺血(AMI)患者死亡率的预测因素。

方法

检索了PubMed、Cochrane和谷歌学术数据库,检索时间从建库至2021年10月31日。选取评估死亡率预测因素的研究。仅选择至少四项研究报告的因素进行荟萃分析。使用Revman 5.3软件,对选定因素采用随机效应模型进行荟萃分析。

结果

纳入51项研究,共评估了10425例AMI患者。所选研究的偏倚风险较低(中位数 = 7)。我们的综述中评估了33个因素。年龄(比值比[OR]1.17,95%置信区间[CI]1.08 - 1.27)、慢性肾病(OR 2.47,95% CI 1.37 - 4.45)、患者依赖程度(OR 3.01,95% CI 1.95 - 4.65)、心律失常(OR 1.93,95% CI 1.38 - 2.69)、心力衰竭(OR 2.28,95% CI 1.57 - 3.31)、低血压(OR 3.44,95% CI 1.81 - 6.54)、大肠受累(OR 2.98,95% CI 1.44 - 6.17)、小肠和大肠均受累(OR 1.86,95% CI 1.23 - 2.81)、肌酐(OR 1.67,95% CI 1.27 - 2.20)、乳酸(OR 1.43,95% CI 1.26 - 1.62)、手术延迟(OR 2.51,95% CI 1.58 - 3.99)和血管活性药物(OR 3.79,95% CI 1.47 - 9.77)与死亡率显著相关。相反,肠壁增厚(OR 0.53,95% CI 0.38 - 0.88)、抗凝治疗(OR 0.27,95% CI 0.10 - 0.74)和血管再通(OR 0.30,95% CI 0.13 - 0.69)与生存率显著相关。

结论

总之,年龄、慢性肾病、糖尿病患者依赖程度、心律失常、心力衰竭、低血压、大肠受累、小肠和大肠均受累、肌酐、乳酸、手术延迟和血管活性药物与死亡率显著相关,而抗凝治疗、血管再通以及CT显示的肠壁增厚与死亡率降低相关。

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