Polytechnic University of Marche, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Piazzale Martelli, 8, 60121, Ancona, Italy.
Health Policy. 2022 Apr;126(4):287-293. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2022.02.004. Epub 2022 Feb 18.
Italy was the first European country to experience a huge outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and to implement various policies in order to contain the spread of the virus. This paper analyses the effects of policies implemented by the Italian government in response to the virus's spread in the first and the second wave of the pandemic. We analyze 307 municipalities of the Friuli-Venezia-Giulia and Umbria regions from 2 April 2020 to 7 February 2021. Our results show that the first relaxation policy implemented immediately after the lockdown had only a slight impact on the virus's spread. Moreover, we find that the mild restriction policy (orange zone) implemented during the second wave in Umbria was successful in containing the virus's spread in November 2020. However, this policy proved to be ineffective in countering new, more contagious variants of the virus.
意大利是欧洲第一个遭遇 COVID-19 大爆发并实施各种政策以遏制病毒传播的国家。本文分析了意大利政府为应对疫情第一波和第二波传播而实施的政策的效果。我们分析了 2020 年 4 月 2 日至 2021 年 2 月 7 日弗留利-威尼斯朱利亚和翁布里亚地区的 307 个市镇。结果表明,封锁后立即实施的第一项放松政策对病毒传播的影响甚微。此外,我们发现翁布里亚在第二波疫情中实施的轻度限制政策(橙色区域)成功遏制了 2020 年 11 月病毒的传播。然而,该政策在对抗新的、更具传染性的病毒变体方面证明是无效的。