Department of Archaeology, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, 07745 Jena, Germany.
Leibniz Laboratory for Radiometric Dating and Stable Isotope Research, Kiel University, 24118 Kiel, Germany.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Mar 8;119(10):e2107720119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2107720119. Epub 2022 Mar 1.
SignificanceUnderstanding the drivers of South Asian monsoon intensity is pivotal for improving climate forecasting under global warming scenarios. Solar insolation is assumed to be the dominant driver of monsoon variability in warm climate regimes, but this has not been verified by proxy data. We report a South Asian monsoon rainfall record spanning the last ∼130 kyr in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna river catchment. Our multiproxy data reveal that the South Asian monsoon was weaker during the Last Interglacial (130 to 115 ka)-despite higher insolation-than during the Holocene (11.6 ka to present), thus questioning the widely accepted model assumption. Our work implies that Indian Ocean warming may increase the occurrence of severe monsoon failures in South Asia.
意义
了解南亚季风强度的驱动因素对于改善全球变暖情景下的气候预测至关重要。太阳辐射被认为是暖气候条件下季风变化的主要驱动因素,但这一点尚未得到代理数据的验证。我们报告了恒河-布拉马普特拉-梅格纳河流域过去约 130 千年来的南亚季风降雨记录。我们的多代理数据显示,尽管太阳辐射更高,但南亚季风在末次间冰期(13 万至 11.5 千年前)比全新世(1.16 千年前至今)期间更弱,这对广泛接受的模型假设提出了质疑。我们的研究结果表明,印度洋变暖可能会增加南亚季风严重失败的发生。