Chen Wen, Zhang Renhe, Wu Renguang, Wen Zhiping, Zhou Liantong, Wang Lin, Hu Peng, Ma Tianjiao, Piao Jinling, Song Lei, Wang Zhibiao, Li Juncong, Gong Hainan, Huangfu Jingliang, Liu Yong
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yunnan University, Kunming, 650500 China.
Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029 China.
Adv Atmos Sci. 2023 May 20:1-28. doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2266-8.
Studies of the multi-scale climate variability of the Asian monsoon are essential to an advanced understanding of the physical processes of the global climate system. In this paper, the progress achieved in this field is systematically reviewed, with a focus on the past several years. The achievements are summarized into the following topics: (1) the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon; (2) the East Asian summer monsoon; (3) the East Asian winter monsoon; and (4) the Indian summer monsoon. Specifically, new results are highlighted, including the advanced or delayed local monsoon onset tending to be synchronized over the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal, Indochina Peninsula, and South China Sea; the basic features of the record-breaking mei-yu in 2020, which have been extensively investigated with an emphasis on the role of multi-scale processes; the recovery of the East Asian winter monsoon intensity after the early 2000s in the presence of continuing greenhouse gas emissions, which is believed to have been dominated by internal climate variability (mostly the Arctic Oscillation); and the accelerated warming over South Asia, which exceeded the tropical Indian Ocean warming, is considered to be the main driver of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall recovery since 1999. A brief summary is provided in the final section along with some further discussion on future research directions regarding our understanding of the Asian monsoon variability.
对亚洲季风多尺度气候变化的研究对于深入理解全球气候系统的物理过程至关重要。本文系统回顾了该领域取得的进展,重点关注过去几年的情况。这些成果总结为以下几个主题:(1)南海夏季风的爆发;(2)东亚夏季风;(3)东亚冬季风;(4)印度夏季风。具体而言,突出了新的研究结果,包括阿拉伯海、孟加拉湾、印度支那半岛和南海等地局部季风爆发提前或推迟的趋势趋于同步;2020年破纪录梅雨的基本特征,已对其进行了广泛研究,重点关注多尺度过程的作用;在持续排放温室气体的情况下,21世纪初以来东亚冬季风强度的恢复,据信这主要受内部气候变率(主要是北极涛动)主导;南亚加速变暖超过热带印度洋变暖,被认为是1999年以来印度夏季风降雨恢复的主要驱动因素。最后一节给出了简要总结,并对未来关于我们对亚洲季风变率理解的研究方向进行了一些进一步讨论。