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可持续农业水资源管理纳入不精确规划和与盐渍化相关的灰色水足迹。

Sustainable agricultural water management incorporating inexact programming and salinization-related grey water footprint.

机构信息

College of Water Resources and Civil Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China.

Key Laboratory for City Cluster Environmental Safety and Green Development of the Ministry of Education, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; College of Water Resources and Civil Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China; Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou 511458, China.

出版信息

J Contam Hydrol. 2022 May;247:103961. doi: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2022.103961. Epub 2022 Jan 17.

Abstract

In arid and semi-arid regions, improper irrigation activities not only exacerbate water shortages, but also lead to environmental pollution such as soil salinization that hinders crop growth and agricultural sustainability. There has been a lack of agricultural water management tools that could support agricultural water management with salinization-related grey water footprints being considered and associated uncertainties being addressed. In this study, salinization-related grey water footprints were measured through accounting for relationships among irrigation, soil salinity, evapotranspiration and crop yield, and then incorporated into an agricultural water management model for supporting environmentally sound irrigation decisions. Such an agricultural water management model was also characterized by a newly proposed generalized fuzzy interval fractional programming (GFIFP) method that could address ratio problems of two objectives and dual uncertainties. The developed methodology coupling the GFIFP method and grey water footprints was applied to an irrigation region in northwestern China where water scarcity and soil salinization hindered local development. Five credibility levels corresponding to decision makers' varied satisfactory degrees over water availability, and nine weight coefficients of possibility and necessity measures were considered. Results showed that, in order to reduce negative environmental impacts while increasing economic benefits, more irrigation water should be allocated to wheat and sunflower rather than corn. When the credibility level is 0.5 and weight coefficient is 0.9, the system efficiency would be the highest. Compared to the benchmark year of 2018, this scenario would generate [0.330, 6.647] billion yuan more benefits and [16.0, 133.9] million m less grey water footprints. Compared to three conventional approaches, GFIFP could provide decisions with more flexibility and less environmental impacts. The developed approach could also be applied to agricultural water management problems in other areas aiming at reducing grey water footprints and enhancing environmental benefits under uncertainty.

摘要

在干旱和半干旱地区,不当的灌溉活动不仅加剧了水资源短缺,还导致了土壤盐渍化等环境污染,从而阻碍了作物生长和农业的可持续性。缺乏能够支持与盐渍化相关的灰水足迹的农业水资源管理工具,而这些灰水足迹的相关不确定性也需要得到解决。在本研究中,通过考虑灌溉、土壤盐分、蒸散和作物产量之间的关系来衡量与盐渍化相关的灰水足迹,并将其纳入支持环境友好型灌溉决策的农业水资源管理模型中。该农业水资源管理模型还具有一个新提出的广义模糊区间分数规划(GFIFP)方法,该方法可以解决两个目标的比例问题和双重不确定性。所开发的方法结合了 GFIFP 方法和灰水足迹,应用于中国西北部一个水资源短缺和土壤盐渍化阻碍当地发展的灌溉区。考虑了决策者对水资源可用性的不同满意度的五个可信度水平和九个可能性和必要性措施的权重系数。结果表明,为了在减少负面环境影响的同时增加经济效益,应将更多的灌溉水分配给小麦和向日葵,而不是玉米。当可信度水平为 0.5 且权重系数为 0.9 时,系统效率将最高。与 2018 年基准年相比,这种情景将产生 [0.330, 6.647] 亿元的经济效益,灰水足迹减少 [16.0, 133.9] 万立方米。与三种传统方法相比,GFIFP 可以提供更灵活和更少环境影响的决策。所开发的方法还可以应用于其他地区的农业水资源管理问题,旨在减少灰水足迹并在不确定性下提高环境效益。

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