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观测到的轻度降水减少部分归因于城市化。

Observed decrease in light precipitation in part due to urbanization.

作者信息

Tysa Suonam Kealdrup, Ren Guoyu

机构信息

Department of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences (CUG), Wuhan, China.

Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration (CMA), Beijing, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Mar 9;12(1):3864. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-07897-8.

Abstract

Decrease in light precipitation (LP) frequency has been reported in many regions. However, reason for the decrease remains poorly understood. Here, we quantify urbanization effect on LP (< 3.0 mm day) trend in China over the period 1960-2018. We show that urbanization has significantly affected the decreasing LP trend. The urbanization effect becomes more significant as the definition of LP becomes stricter, with the largest effect appearing in trace precipitation change (< 0.3 mm day) (LP) during summer and autumn. We estimate that at least 25% of the decreases in LP days and amount are due to urbanization near the observational stations. Our analysis thus confirms that urbanization has largely contributed to the observed downward trend in LP, and the large-scale change in LP is less than previously believed.

摘要

许多地区都报告了轻度降水(LP)频率的下降。然而,下降的原因仍知之甚少。在此,我们量化了1960 - 2018年期间城市化对中国轻度降水(< 3.0毫米/天)趋势的影响。我们表明,城市化显著影响了轻度降水的下降趋势。随着轻度降水定义变得更严格,城市化效应变得更加显著,最大的影响出现在夏秋季节的微量降水变化(< 0.3毫米/天)(LP)中。我们估计,观测站附近至少25%的轻度降水日数和降水量的减少是由于城市化。因此,我们的分析证实,城市化在很大程度上导致了观测到的轻度降水下降趋势,并且轻度降水的大规模变化比之前认为的要小。

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